23 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka Premier League prediction & result

Avangard, Rivne
Referee: Oleksandr Kalonov, Ukraine
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Veres Rivne 0-2 Kolos Kovalivka.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Veres Rivne, 31% draw, 36% Kolos Kovalivka — fair odds of 3.03, 3.23 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kolos Kovalivka at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Veres Rivne0%Draw1%Kolos Kovalivka99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽Anton Salabayassist: Irgi Kasalla
44'
Daniil Khrypchuk
🔁Wesley Pombaout: Mykyta Aleksandrov
45'
53'
⚽Luka Stankovskiassist: Anton Salabay
🔁Konstantinos Stamoulisout: Mykhaylo Protasevych
60'
🔁Danyil Checherout: Alagie Wally
61'
69'
🔁Daniil Khrypchukout: Nika Gagnidze
69'
🔁Denys Ndukveout: Ardit Tahiri
🔁André Gonçalvesout: Guilherme Bahia
75'
78'
🔁Luka Stankovskiout: Arinaldo Rrapaj
78'
🔁Irgi Kasallaout: Ibrahim Kane
🔁Vladyslav Sharayout: Luka Khokhashvili
82'
90'
🔁Anton Salabayout: Daniil Denysenko
Alagie Wally
90+2'

Match stats — Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka

52%Possession48%
5Shots12
2On target8
5Corners3

Line-ups

Veres Rivne 4-4-2
  • 91V. GorokhG
  • 22K. StamoulisD
  • 4K. CipotD
  • 3S. VovchenkoD
  • 2M. SmiyanD
  • 19André GonçalvesM
  • 44D. ChecherM
  • 14I. KharatinM
  • 77V. SharayM
  • 7Fabrício YanF
  • 11L. PombaF
Substitutes
  • 20Alagie WallyF
  • 80Guilherme BahiaM
  • 27S. MigutskyiF
  • 25I. SanotskyiF
  • 5Pavlo BagriyD
  • 17M. ProtasevychD
  • 1Pavlo StefanyukG
  • 99Vadym SamkovG
  • 30L. KhokhashviliM
Coach: O. Shandruk
Kolos Kovalivka 4-1-4-1
  • 31I. PakholyukG
  • 42O. SavchukD
  • 3E. KozikD
  • 6M. BurdaD
  • 2Z. RukhadzeD
  • 45D. KhrypchukM
  • 90I. KasallaM
  • 7O. DemchenkoM
  • 10L. StankovskiM
  • 17A. SalabayM
  • 30D. NdukweF
Substitutes
  • 1D. MatsapuraG
  • 11A. TahiriF
  • 22V. KatrychD
  • 44V. ShershenD
  • 33R. GoncharenkoD
  • 21D. SukhonosM
  • 47Daniil DenysenkoM
  • 20N. GagnidzeM
  • 99A. RrapajM
Coach: R. Kostyshyn

Form going into Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka

Veres Rivne

Premier League

  • L0-2away to Obolon'-Brovar16 October 2026
  • L0-3Shakhtar Donetsk9 October 2026

Kolos Kovalivka

Premier League

  • L1-2away to Shakhtar Donetsk17 October 2026
  • W3-1Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10 October 2026
  • W3-2away to Kudrivka20 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Veres Rivne12237718-119
9Kolos Kovalivka103341314-112

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Veres Rivne vs Kolos Kovalivka

  • 10 July 2026Veres Rivne 2–3 Kolos KovalivkaFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 March 2026Veres Rivne 0–1 Kolos KovalivkaPremier League
  • 20 September 2025Kolos Kovalivka 0–0 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 2 March 2025Veres Rivne 2–1 Kolos KovalivkaPremier League
  • 26 August 2024Kolos Kovalivka 0–1 Veres RivnePremier League
  • 21 July 2024Veres Rivne 0–3 Kolos KovalivkaFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Veres Rivne and Kolos Kovalivka

Veres Rivne

GoalsAssists

  • André Gonçalves22

Kolos Kovalivka

GoalsAssists

  • D. Ndukwe40
  • O. Demchenko31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Kolos Kovalivka won 2–0 at Veres Rivne. The model had made a win for Kolos Kovalivka its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Anton Salabay 14' for Kolos Kovalivka, Luka Stankovski 53' for Kolos Kovalivka.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Veres Rivne a 35.9% chance to finish in the bottom four: 27.4% after a win, 36.3% after a draw, 43.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 43.9%, 8 points higher than before the match.

For Kolos Kovalivka the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 13.1% going in: 7.6% after a win, 13.3% after a draw, 17.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 7.6%, 5.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Veres Rivne v Kolos Kovalivka has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 38% / 31% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 33% / 31% / 36%: the biggest move is Veres Rivne's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Veres Rivne win33%▼ −5
  2. Draw31%=
  3. Kolos Kovalivka win36%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.