Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-1 Atletico Tucuman.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 28% draw, 44% Atletico Tucuman — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico Tucuman at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lucas BrueraG
- 2Gonzalo MaffiniD
- 30Sergio OjedaD
- 31Matias ValentiD
- 13Francisco RomeroM
- 14Gonzalo GonzalezM
- 10Tomas GonzalezM
- 17Gabriel AlanísM
- 23Fernando RodríguezM
- 16Yeison MorenoF
- 77Ibrahim HesarF
- 8Siro RosaneM
- 9Javier FerreiraF
- 45Raúl LozanoD
- 19Nicolás TalponeM
- 22Mauro ValienteF
- 43Agustín LastraG
- 18Joaquín RiveroF
- 6Juan AntoniniD
- 29Agustin QuirogaD
- 1Luis IngolottiG
- 24Leonel Di PlácidoD
- 26Clever FerreiraD
- 36Luciano VallejoD
- 21Ignacio GalvánD
- 19Leonel VegaM
- 11Renzo TesuriM
- 31Lautaro Agustin GodoyM
- 10Franco NicolaM
- 23Nicolás LaméndolaM
- 30Manuel BrondoF
- 27Rodrigo GranilloF
- 14Alexis CaneloF
- 45Kevin OrtízM
- 5Julián FernándezM
- 28Gabriel CompagnucciD
- 25Tomás DursoG
- 6Gianluca FerrariD
- 2Ramiro PauneroD
- 32Juan InfanteD
Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia8 August 2026
- D0-0Banfield1 August 2026
- L0-3away to Argentinos Juniors29 July 2026
- W1-0Tigre25 July 2026
Atletico Tucuman
- L1-2Sarmiento Junin8 August 2026
- D0-0away to Huracan4 August 2026
- W2-0away to Central Cordoba de Santiago31 July 2026
- D0-0Independiente Rivadavia26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Atletico Tucuman
- 17 August 2026Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15 February 2026Atletico Tucuman 4–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 16 May 2023Atletico Tucuman 1–3 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoCopa Argentina
Leading scorers: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Atletico Tucuman
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No leading scorers listed yet.
Atletico Tucuman
- L. Díaz7 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.