17 August 2026, 23:00 UTC

Internacional vs Remo Serie A prediction & result

Porto Alegre
Full time1 1

Final score: Internacional 1-1 Remo.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Internacional, 23% draw, 28% Remo — fair odds of 2.04, 4.35 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Internacional at 49% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Internacional96%Draw4%Remo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

J. Carboneroassist: Matheus Bahia
3'
46'
🔁L. Piccoout: Vitor Bueno
46'
🔁Marcelinhoout: A. Galeano
49'
Marllon
58'
Jaja
🔁Bruno Henriqueout: Paulinho Paula
63'
🔁Alan Patrickout: Calebe
64'
64'
🔁Ze Welisonout: Patrick
64'
🔁Jajaout: Alef Manga
66'
Ze Ricardo
🔁J. Carboneroout: Alerrandro
75'
Matheus Bahia
82'
83'
🔁Marllonout: David Braga
🔁Vitinhoout: F. Torres
87'
🔁A. Bernabeiout: Allex
87'
90+5'
Vitor Bueno
90'
Vitor Bueno

Match stats — Internacional vs Remo

40%Possession60%
11Shots12
3On target3
4Corners5
1.39xG0.9

Goals against chances

Internacional1 from 1.39 xGabout what the chances were worth
Remo1 from 0.90 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Internacional 3-4-3
  • 23Matheus CunhaG
  • 15Bruno GomesD
  • 3G. MaripanD
  • 25G. MercadoD
  • 28VitinhoM
  • 8Bruno HenriqueM
  • 5R. VillagraM
  • 6Matheus BahiaM
  • 7J. CarboneroF
  • 10Alan PatrickF
  • 26A. BernabeiF
Substitutes
  • 12AnthoniG
  • 18JuninhoD
  • 35B. AguirreD
  • 4F. TorresD
  • 29Thiago MaiaM
  • 27Paulinho PaulaM
  • 16RonaldoM
  • 30CalebeM
  • 31AllexM
Coach: Paulo Pezzolano
Remo 4-2-3-1
  • 88Marcelo RangelG
  • 22Yago PikachuD
  • 27Ze IvaldoD
  • 18D. TchambaD
  • 6MarllonD
  • 28Ze WelisonM
  • 14L. PiccoM
  • 79MarcelinhoM
  • 55Ze RicardoM
  • 7JajaM
  • 19Gabriel TaliariF
Substitutes
  • 97IvanG
  • 94Ygor VinhasG
  • 5Leo AndradeD
  • 2Matheus AlexandreD
  • 4Matheus FelipeD
  • 8PatrickM
  • 26David BragaM
  • 15Vitor BuenoF
  • 21A. GaleanoF
Coach: Conde Leo

Form going into Internacional vs Remo

Internacional

  • D0-0away to Palmeiras9 August 2026
  • D1-1Flamengo29 July 2026
  • L0-2away to Atletico Paranaense25 July 2026
  • L1-2Cruzeiro23 July 2026

Remo

  • D2-2Atletico Mineiro8 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Mirassol29 July 2026
  • W2-0Vitoria26 July 2026
  • L0-3away to Corinthians23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18Internacional27610113035-528
19Remo2758143145-1423

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Internacional vs Remo

  • 17 August 2026Internacional 1–1 RemoSerie A
  • 25 February 2026Remo 1–1 InternacionalSerie A
  • 21 February 2018Remo 1–2 InternacionalCopa Do Brasil

Leading scorers: Internacional and Remo

Internacional

  • J. Carbonero7 goals4 assists

Remo

  • Jája Silva7 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.