Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Seattle Sounders 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps.
Before kick-off the model made it 28% Seattle Sounders, 25% draw, 47% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 3.57, 4.00 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 47% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 26A. ThomasG
- 85K. Kossa-RienziD
- 16A. RoldanD
- 25J. RagenD
- 5NouhouD
- 37S. BrunellM
- 45P. KingstonM
- 9J. FerreiraM
- 11A. RusnakM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 20Kim Kee-HeeD
- 35A. LopezD
- 4R. SailorD
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 84C. GaffneyM
- 32X. GnaulatiM
- 95O. De RosarioF
- 90S. GomezM
- 1Y. TakaokaG
- 18E. OcampoD
- 2M. LabordaD
- 6R. PrisoD
- 28T. JohnsonD
- 8O. LarrazM
- 20A. CubasM
- 59J. BadwalM
- 13T. MullerM
- 7C. SabalyM
- 11E. SabbiF
- 32I. BoehmerG
- 33T. BlackmonD
- 29M. GherasimencovD
- 3S. AdekugbeD
- 41N. DjordjevicD
- 25R. GauldM
- 97L. MacKenzieM
- 26J. NgandoM
- 19R. ElloumiF
Form going into Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
- L1-2away to Portland Timbers2 August 2026
- L0-1away to Philadelphia Union25 July 2026
- L1-3away to Austin23 July 2026
- L1-5Portland Timbers17 July 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps
- D1-1Los Angeles FC1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Minnesota United FC26 July 2026
- L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | +30 | 46 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
- 17 August 2026Seattle Sounders 0–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 19 March 2026Seattle Sounders 2–1 Vancouver WhitecapsCONCACAF Champions League
- 13 March 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 Seattle SoundersCONCACAF Champions League
- 28 September 2025Seattle Sounders 2–2 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 9 June 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
- 3 October 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 0–3 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Seattle Sounders and Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
Vancouver Whitecaps
- B. White15 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.