23 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK Süper Lig prediction & result

Istanbul
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Eyüpspor 0-1 Gaziantep FK.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Eyüpspor, 26% draw, 28% Gaziantep FK — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Eyüpspor at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Eyüpspor0%Draw6%Gaziantep FK94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

28'
Myenty Abena
60'
⚽D. Sorescu
63'
•Juninho Bacuna
64'
Juninho Bacuna
🔁A. Sabiriout: Y. Barasi
64'
🔁B. Boutobbaout: K. Michalak
64'
🔁A. Abdullahiout: H. Akman
65'
68'
🔁D. Camaraout: V. Gidado
🔁A. Yasarout: S. Giordano
74'
🔁L. Pintorout: M. Demir
74'
76'
🔁T. Stewartout: F. Bavuk
88'
🔁K. Kozlowskiout: S. Hansen

Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK

56%Possession44%
12Shots9
1On target2
4Corners2
0.4xG0.95

Goals against chances

Eyüpspor0 from 0.40 xGabout what the chances were worth
Gaziantep FK1 from 0.95 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Eyüpspor 4-4-1-1
  • 31H. MoldovanG
  • 7T. UlvanD
  • 5J. El YamiqD
  • 33Z. JulesD
  • 4A. YasarD
  • 98B. BoutobbaM
  • 88Massanga MatondoM
  • 15C. Raux YaoM
  • 11L. PintorM
  • 10A. SabiriF
  • 29A. AbdullahiF
Substitutes
  • 1E. BilginG
  • 21S. GiordanoD
  • 3A. YavuzD
  • 42B. K. SatliD
  • 44O. CeyhanD
  • 18H. Akman
  • 70M. DemirF
  • 9Y. BarasiF
  • 77K. MichalakF
Coach: Ozhan Pulat
Gaziantep FK 3-4-2-1
  • 25K. TobiaszG
  • 2L. PerezD
  • 14M. AbenaD
  • 6U. MelekeD
  • 18D. SorescuM
  • 7J. BacunaM
  • 44A. MaximM
  • 96F. StefanM
  • 10K. KozlowskiF
  • 3D. CamaraF
  • 9T. StewartF
Substitutes
  • 81C. AslanG
  • 23K. CalhanogluD
  • 77S. DesticiD
  • 4A. KizildagD
  • 8V. Gidado
  • 61O. OzcicekM
  • 19S. DursunF
  • 28H. DervisogluF
  • 22S. HansenF
Coach: Mirel Radoi

Form going into Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK

Eyüpspor

  • L0-1away to Beşiktaş16 August 2026

Gaziantep FK

  • D1-1Alanyaspor15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
17Eyüpspor510428-63
7Gaziantep FK522175+28

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK

  • 23 August 2026Eyüpspor 0–1 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 25 April 2026Eyüpspor 3–0 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 29 November 2025Gaziantep FK 1–2 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 3 March 2025Gaziantep FK 3–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
  • 29 September 2024Eyüpspor 3–2 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
  • 23 July 2022Eyüpspor 1–0 Gaziantep FKFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Eyüpspor and Gaziantep FK

Eyüpspor

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.

Gaziantep FK

  • D. Sorescu2 goals
  • K. Kozłowski2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.