FC Andorra vs Eibar Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: FC Andorra 0-1 Eibar.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Andorra, 27% draw, 29% Eibar — fair odds of 2.27, 3.70 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Andorra at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Andorra vs Eibar
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13P. LopezG
- 17T. CarriqueD
- 5M. Bombardo PoyatoD
- 23D. AlendeD
- 20M. VilaD
- 8E. AkmanM
- 10M. DomenechM
- 16R. SchneiderM
- 7A. CalvoF
- 29H. LopezF
- 15J. CanoF
- 1N. RattiG
- 25J. OwonoG
- 3L. M. SpatzD
- 18A. LopezD
- 2J. SebastianD
- 14S. MolinaM
- 19Quintana NachoM
- 6H. SolozabalM
- 28T. OlmedoM
- 13J. MagunagoitiaG
- 22A. RodriguezD
- 4U. ElgezabalD
- 23A. ArbillaD
- 24J. BernatD
- 30A. GarridoM
- 8A. MadariagaM
- 11J. Magunazelaia ArgoitiaM
- 21I. GilM
- 10J. GuruzetaM
- 20Javier MartonF
- 1L. LopezG
- 2S. CuberoD
- 15J. AmadorD
- 18M. AranaD
- 28L. NunezM
- 17PejinoF
- 7A. AresF
- 32C. LumbrerasF
- 19E. Perez
Form going into FC Andorra vs Eibar
FC Andorra
All competitions we cover
- L2-4away to Celta de Vigo II24 August 2026
- W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026
Eibar
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Valladolid23 August 2026
- L1-3Tenerife16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | FC Andorra | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 11 |
| 6 | Eibar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs Eibar
- 21 March 2026FC Andorra 0–1 EibarSegunda División
- 8 September 2025Eibar 2–0 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 14 April 2024FC Andorra 0–2 EibarSegunda División
- 10 December 2023Eibar 2–2 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 26 March 2023Eibar 0–0 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 17 September 2022FC Andorra 2–0 EibarSegunda División
Leading scorers: FC Andorra and Eibar
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano52
Eibar
GoalsAssists
- Iván Gil41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Eibar won 1–0 at FC Andorra. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Andorra at 44% and given a win for Eibar 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: A. Garrido 47' for Eibar. Sent off: Jon Magunazelaia (Eibar) 56'. On expected goals it finished 1.05–0.36.