30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Red Bull Salzburg 4-1 Austria Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Red Bull Salzburg, 25% draw, 21% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Red Bull Salzburg at 54% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Lee Kang-Hee (OG)
13'
⚽H. Tabakovicassist: N. Veratschnig
19'
⚽B. Mazurekassist: A. Barry
31'
Dominik Schmid
39'
🔁H. Tabakovicout: A. Camara
46'
46'
🔁S. Saljicout: M. Fischer
46'
🔁J. Hettwerout: F. Wustinger
47'
⚽M. Fischerassist: F. Wustinger
⚽Y. Vertessenassist: A. Camara
55'
64'
🔁J. Eggesteinout: K. Boateng
🔁N. Veratschnigout: L. Morgalla
65'
🔁D. Redzicout: E. Baidoo
65'
68'
🔁A. Dragovicout: J. Handl
🔁B. Mazurekout: U. Tohumcu
74'
🔁K. Bomaout: J. Mellberg
80'
82'
🔁D. Nnodimout: J. Feddersen
90+3'
Matteo Schablas

Match stats — Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

70%Possession30%
12Shots8
5On target3
7Corners4
1.71xG0.76

Goals against chances

Red Bull Salzburg4 from 1.71 xGmore than the chances were worth
Austria Vienna1 from 0.76 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
  • 52C. ZawieschitzkyG
  • 18N. VeratschnigD
  • 44K. BomaD
  • 21T. DrexlerD
  • 31D. SchmidD
  • 32A. BarryM
  • 15B. MazurekM
  • 23D. RedzicM
  • 8S. KitanoM
  • 11Y. VertessenM
  • 9H. TabakovicF
Substitutes
  • 1C. FruchtlG
  • 22S. LainerD
  • 39L. MorgallaD
  • 4J. MellbergD
  • 47V. ZabranskyD
  • 7U. TohumcuM
  • 19K. KonateF
  • 33A. Camara
  • 20E. BaidooF
Coach: Danny Rohl
Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
  • 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
  • 26R. RanftlD
  • 15A. DragovicD
  • 16Lee Kang-HeeD
  • 40D. NnodimM
  • 7V. MarkovicM
  • 6P. MaybachM
  • 21M. SchablasM
  • 20J. HettwerF
  • 10S. SaljicF
  • 19J. EggesteinF
Substitutes
  • 99M. KosG
  • 46J. HandlD
  • 17Lee Tae-SeokD
  • 4J. FeddersenD
  • 30M. FischerM
  • 22F. WustingerM
  • 14K. BoatengF
  • 47A. KanteF
  • 74H. Deshishku
Coach: Stephan Helm

Form going into Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg

  • W3-0away to WSG Wattens16 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Wolfsberger AC9 August 2026

Austria Vienna

  • W2-0away to TSV Hartberg16 August 2026
  • L0-2Lask Linz9 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Red Bull Salzburg6420154+1114
8Austria Vienna6204511-66

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

  • 30 August 2026Red Bull Salzburg 4–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 22 April 2026Red Bull Salzburg 3–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 19 April 2026Austria Vienna 1–3 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 6 February 2026Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 26 October 2025Austria Vienna 0–3 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 4 May 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga

Leading scorers: Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg

  • K. Konaté4 goals
  • H. Tabaković3 goals
  • Y. Vertessen2 goals1 assists

Austria Vienna

  • J. Hettwer2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.