30 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna Bundesliga prediction & result

Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Full time4 – 1

Final score: Red Bull Salzburg 4-1 Austria Vienna.

Before kick-off the model made it 54% Red Bull Salzburg, 25% draw, 21% Austria Vienna — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Red Bull Salzburg at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Lee Kang-Hee (OG)
13'
⚽H. Tabakovicassist: N. Veratschnig
19'
⚽B. Mazurekassist: A. Barry
31'
Dominik Schmid
39'
🔁H. Tabakovicout: A. Camara
46'
46'
🔁S. Saljicout: M. Fischer
46'
🔁J. Hettwerout: F. Wustinger
47'
⚽M. Fischerassist: F. Wustinger
⚽Y. Vertessenassist: A. Camara
55'
64'
🔁J. Eggesteinout: K. Boateng
🔁N. Veratschnigout: L. Morgalla
65'
🔁D. Redzicout: E. Baidoo
65'
68'
🔁A. Dragovicout: J. Handl
🔁B. Mazurekout: U. Tohumcu
74'
🔁K. Bomaout: J. Mellberg
80'
82'
🔁D. Nnodimout: J. Feddersen
90+3'
Matteo Schablas

Match stats — Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

70%Possession30%
12Shots8
5On target3
7Corners4
1.71xG0.76

Goals against chances

Red Bull Salzburg4 from 1.71 xGmore than the chances were worth
Austria Vienna1 from 0.76 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
  • 52C. ZawieschitzkyG
  • 18N. VeratschnigD
  • 44K. BomaD
  • 21T. DrexlerD
  • 31D. SchmidD
  • 32A. BarryM
  • 15B. MazurekM
  • 23D. RedzicM
  • 8S. KitanoM
  • 11Y. VertessenM
  • 9H. TabakovicF
Substitutes
  • 1C. FruchtlG
  • 22S. LainerD
  • 39L. MorgallaD
  • 4J. MellbergD
  • 47V. ZabranskyD
  • 7U. TohumcuM
  • 19K. KonateF
  • 33A. Camara
  • 20E. BaidooF
Coach: Danny Rohl
Austria Vienna 3-4-2-1
  • 1S. Sahin-RadlingerG
  • 26R. RanftlD
  • 15A. DragovicD
  • 16Lee Kang-HeeD
  • 40D. NnodimM
  • 7V. MarkovicM
  • 6P. MaybachM
  • 21M. SchablasM
  • 20J. HettwerF
  • 10S. SaljicF
  • 19J. EggesteinF
Substitutes
  • 99M. KosG
  • 46J. HandlD
  • 17Lee Tae-SeokD
  • 4J. FeddersenD
  • 30M. FischerM
  • 22F. WustingerM
  • 14K. BoatengF
  • 47A. KanteF
  • 74H. Deshishku
Coach: Stephan Helm

Form going into Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Mjallby AIF27 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Mjallby AIF20 August 2026
  • W3-0away to WSG Wattens16 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Pafos13 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Wolfsberger AC9 August 2026

Austria Vienna

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0SC Braga27 August 2026
  • L0-2away to SC Braga20 August 2026
  • W2-0away to TSV Hartberg16 August 2026
  • L1-2Beitar Jerusalem13 August 2026
  • L0-2Lask Linz9 August 2026

What these results say

  • Red Bull Salzburg went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Red Bull Salzburg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Austria Vienna failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Austria Vienna had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Austria Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Red Bull Salzburg12930339+2430
11Austria Vienna122281123-128

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Vienna

  • 22 April 2026Red Bull Salzburg 3–1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 19 April 2026Austria Vienna 1–3 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 6 February 2026Red Bull Salzburg 0–2 Austria ViennaBundesliga
  • 26 October 2025Austria Vienna 0–3 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
  • 4 May 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–0 Austria ViennaBundesliga

Leading scorers: Red Bull Salzburg and Austria Vienna

Red Bull Salzburg

GoalsAssists

  • H. Tabaković80
  • K. Konaté40
  • Y. Vertessen33

Austria Vienna

No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Red Bull Salzburg beat Austria Vienna 4–1. The model had made a win for Red Bull Salzburg its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Lee Kang-Hee (own goal) 13' for Red Bull Salzburg, H. Tabakovic 19' for Red Bull Salzburg, B. Mazurek 31' for Red Bull Salzburg, M. Fischer 47' for Austria Vienna, Y. Vertessen 55' for Red Bull Salzburg. On expected goals it finished 1.71–0.76.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.