Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1-1 Kryvbas KR.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, 26% draw, 30% Kryvbas KR — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR
Line-ups
- 71N. FedotovG
- 70I. KyryukhantsevD
- 13S. RepajD
- 4V. MorozD
- 97O. KlymetsD
- 28A. LipovuzM
- 27D. VashchenkoM
- 20V. SydunM
- 8M. MyronyukM
- 59A. KozakM
- 15M. EvpakF
- 31O. BilykG
- 6K. KovaletsM
- 17Ivan BenderaM
- 7V. LuchkevychD
- 22A. VavshkoG
- 3S. GrygorashchukD
- 77Nil CochD
- 10Jon CeberioM
- 25vitalii horinD
- 12O. KemkinG
- 22João MachadoD
- 6D. PidgurskyiD
- 4V. VilivaldD
- 15J. JonesD
- 16Thiago Isabel Nascimento BorgesD
- 18B. LinM
- 17R. NawiM
- 8Y. ShevchenkoM
- 10A. HerbertM
- 14Assane SeckF
- 1B. KhomaG
- 23Danylo SychevG
- 2Oleksii TovarnytskyiD
- 3Jimmy MpanzuD
- 5V. KulbachukD
- 28S. CuizaD
- 21Oleksandr KamenskyiM
- 27D. GodyaM
- 7Y. RivasF
Form going into Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Premier League
- L0-1away to Zorya Luhansk2 November 2026
- L1-2FC Kharkiv24 October 2026
- D2-2away to Karpaty18 October 2026
- L1-3away to Kolos Kovalivka10 October 2026
Kryvbas KR
Premier League
- L0-2Dynamo Kyiv2 November 2026
- D0-0away to Bukovyna25 October 2026
- L0-3LNZ Cherkasy18 October 2026
- L0-1away to Polessya18 September 2026
What these results say
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Epitsentr Dunayivtsi scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Kryvbas KR did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Kryvbas KR failed to score in every one of these 4 matches.
- Kryvbas KR conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ukraine Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR
- 21 March 2026Kryvbas KR 2–1 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
- 21 September 2025Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4–5 Kryvbas KRPremier League
Leading scorers: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
GoalsAssists
- A. Kozak33
- V. Sydun30
Kryvbas KR
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Kryvbas KR drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at 44% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Assan Seck 54' for Kryvbas KR, Vadym Sydun 68' for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 32.6% chance to finish in the bottom four: 25.1% after a win, 36.1% after a draw, 42.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 36.1%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.
For Kryvbas KR the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 40.5% going in: 27.7% after a win, 38.6% after a draw, 48.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 38.6%, 1.9 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.