7 November 2026, 21:00 UTC

FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC Major League Soccer prediction & result

TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
Referee: T. Penso
Full time0 – 2

Final score: FC Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% FC Cincinnati, 25% draw, 50% Nashville SC — fair odds of 4.00, 4.00 and 2.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nashville SC at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Cincinnati0%Draw1%Nashville SC99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Obinna Nwobodo
31'
Evander
41'
Samuel Mawuena Gidi
45+3'
🔁Teenage Hadebeout: Miles Robinson
45'
61'
⚽Sam Surridgeassist: Andy Najar
Kyle Smith
65'
🔁Tom Barlowout: Kenji Mboma Dem
66'
🔁David Douděraout: Ender Jesús Echenique Peña
66'
74'
🔁Cristian Espinozaout: Shakur Mohammed
74'
🔁matthew corcoranout: Bryan Acosta
🔁Kyle Smithout: Ayoub Jabbari
81'
83'
🔁Andy Najarout: josh bauer
83'
🔁Elias Saadout: Alex Muyl
86'
⚽Sam Surridgeassist: Patrick Yazbek
🔁Obinna Nwobodoout: José Martínez
87'
Pavel Bucha
88'
90'
🔁Hany Mukhtarout: Warren Madrigal
90'
Alex Muyl
90+6'
Maxwell Woledzi

Match stats — FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC

49%Possession51%
14Shots14
5On target5
6Corners2
1.02xG1.32

Goals against chances

FC Cincinnati0 from 1.02 xGless than the chances were worth
Nashville SC2 from 1.32 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
  • 18R. CelentanoG
  • 24K. SmithD
  • 15T. HadebeD
  • 11S. GidiD
  • 23D. DouděraM
  • 20P. BuchaM
  • 5O. NwobodoM
  • 29Bryan Josías Ramírez LeónM
  • 10EvanderM
  • 9K. DenkeyF
  • 16T. BarlowF
Substitutes
  • 12M. RobinsonD
  • 22G. ValenzuelaM
  • 27B. AnungaM
  • 66E. EcheniqueF
  • 99A. JabbariF
  • 13E. LouroG
  • 70J. MartínezM
  • 17K. Mboma DemF
  • 2A. PowellD
Coach: Pat Noonan
Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
  • 99B. SchwakeG
  • 31A. NajarD
  • 3M. WoledziD
  • 5J. MaherD
  • 27R. Baker-WhitingD
  • 8P. YazbekM
  • 16M. CorcoranM
  • 7C. EspinozaM
  • 10H. MukhtarM
  • 11E. SaadM
  • 9S. SurridgeF
Substitutes
  • 22J. BauerD
  • 2D. LovitzD
  • 41W. MadrigalF
  • 14S. MohammedM
  • 19A. MuylM
  • 20E. TagsethM
  • 21T. WilliamsD
  • 1J. WillisG
  • 6B. AcostaM
Coach: B. Callaghan

Form going into FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC

FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer

  • W1-0Philadelphia Union31 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Inter Miami28 October 2026
  • W2-0away to DC United24 October 2026
  • W2-1DC United21 October 2026

Nashville SC

Major League Soccer

  • W3-2New York Red Bulls1 November 2026
  • D0-0Philadelphia Union29 October 2026
  • W2-0away to CF Montreal24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes18 October 2026

What these results say

  • FC Cincinnati went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • FC Cincinnati scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Cincinnati won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Nashville SC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Nashville SC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Nashville SC had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9FC Cincinnati341210126775-846
1Nashville SC3423837125+4677

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC

  • 30 August 2026Nashville SC 4–0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 13 September 2025FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 30 March 2025Nashville SC 1–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 22 September 2024Nashville SC 2–2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
  • 29 May 2024FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
  • 5 August 2023FC Cincinnati 1–1 Nashville SCLeagues Cup

Leading scorers: FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC

FC Cincinnati

GoalsAssists

  • K. Denkey173

Nashville SC

GoalsAssists

  • S. Surridge211
  • H. Mukhtar167

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nashville SC won 2–0 at FC Cincinnati. The model had made a win for Nashville SC its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Sam Surridge 61' for Nashville SC, Sam Surridge 86' for Nashville SC. On expected goals it finished 1.02–1.32.

How the call on FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 22% / 22% / 56% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 25% / 25% / 50%: the biggest move is Nashville SC's chance of winning, down 6 points.

  1. FC Cincinnati win25%▲ +3
  2. Draw25%▲ +3
  3. Nashville SC win50%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.