7 November 2026, 21:00 UTC

CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps Major League Soccer prediction & result

Saputo Stadium, Montreal
Referee: M. De Oliveira
Full time0 – 2

Final score: CF Montreal 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% CF Montreal, 24% draw, 57% Vancouver Whitecaps — fair odds of 5.26, 4.17 and 1.75.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vancouver Whitecaps at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CF Montreal0%Draw1%Vancouver Whitecaps99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
M. Gherasimencov
42'
Édier Ocampo
Victor Loturi
45'
🔁Gennadiy Synchukout: Noah Streit
45'
45'
🔁Yadaly Diabyout: Bruno Caicedo
45'
🔁Édier Ocampoout: Rui Modesto
50'
⚽Cheikh Sabaly
62'
Ralph Priso
63'
🔁Ryan Gauldout: Thomas Müller
🔁Olger Escobarout: Fabian Herbers
66'
🔁Daniel Riosout: Alexis Sanchez
66'
🔁Dawid Bugajout: Brayan Ceballos
66'
71'
🔁Ralph Prisoout: Tristan Blackmon
Luca Petrasso
74'
83'
⚽M. Gherasimencovassist: Bruno Caicedo
86'
🔁Oliver Love Larrazout: Sebastián Ramírez

Match stats — CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps

36%Possession64%
8Shots17
3On target8
4Corners5
0.96xG1.86

Goals against chances

CF Montreal0 from 0.96 xGless than the chances were worth
Vancouver Whitecaps2 from 1.86 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

CF Montreal 4-2-3-1
  • 41S. KeitaG
  • 27D. BugajD
  • 5B. CraigD
  • 4B. VeraD
  • 13L. PetrassoD
  • 8M. LongstaffM
  • 22V. LoturiM
  • 18H. SynchukM
  • 29O. EscobarM
  • 16W. CarmonaM
  • 14D. RíosF
Substitutes
  • 3B. CeballosD
  • 21F. HerbersF
  • 24E. MoralesD
  • 36Josh-Duc NteziryayoM
  • 7D. PereiraM
  • 6S. PietteM
  • 23N. StreitM
  • 1S. BrezaG
  • 10A. SánchezF
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. TakaokaG
  • 18É. OcampoD
  • 4R. VeselinovićD
  • 6R. PrisoD
  • 29M. GherasimencovD
  • 8O. LarrazM
  • 23A. CvetkovićM
  • 7C. SabalyM
  • 25R. GauldM
  • 77Y. DiabyM
  • 19R. ElloumiF
Substitutes
  • 24B. WhiteF
  • 14Bruno Steven Caicedo QuiñonezF
  • 32I. BoehmerG
  • 33T. BlackmonD
  • 28T. JohnsonD
  • 70Rui ModestoM
  • 13T. MüllerF
  • 15S. RamíirezM
  • 63Johnny SelemaniF
Coach: J. Sørensen

Form going into CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps

CF Montreal

Major League Soccer

  • D1-1away to New York City FC31 October 2026
  • L0-4away to Charlotte28 October 2026
  • L0-2Nashville SC24 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Seattle Sounders18 October 2026

Vancouver Whitecaps

Major League Soccer

  • W5-1Seattle Sounders1 November 2026
  • W4-1San Diego29 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Colorado Rapids25 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Austin18 October 2026

What these results say

  • CF Montreal did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • CF Montreal conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for CF Montreal had two goals or fewer.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15CF Montreal3468203769-3226
1Vancouver Whitecaps3419787434+4064

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps

  • 16 September 2026CF Montreal 2–1 Vancouver WhitecapsCanadian Championship
  • 3 September 2026Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 CF MontrealCanadian Championship
  • 9 March 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
  • 6 July 2024CF Montreal 1–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
  • 8 June 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 2–1 CF MontrealCanadian Championship
  • 2 April 2023Vancouver Whitecaps 5–0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Leading scorers: CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps

CF Montreal

GoalsAssists

  • P. Owusu156

Vancouver Whitecaps

GoalsAssists

  • B. White202

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Vancouver Whitecaps won 2–0 at CF Montreal. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Vancouver Whitecaps at 57%. The goals: Cheikh Sabaly 50' for Vancouver Whitecaps, M. Gherasimencov 83' for Vancouver Whitecaps. On expected goals it finished 0.96–1.86.

How the call on CF Montreal v Vancouver Whitecaps has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 22% / 25% / 53% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 19% / 24% / 57%: the biggest move is Vancouver Whitecaps's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. CF Montreal win19%▼ −3
  2. Draw24%▼ −1
  3. Vancouver Whitecaps win57%▲ +4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.