8 November 2026, 11:00 UTC

FC Copenhagen vs Brondby Superliga prediction & result

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee: Jacob A Sundberg
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Copenhagen 1-0 Brondby.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% FC Copenhagen, 24% draw, 23% Brondby — fair odds of 1.89, 4.17 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Copenhagen at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Copenhagen96%Draw4%Brondby0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Rodrigo Huescas
10'
Mads Emil Madsen
18'
⚽William Clem
54'
57'
Max Isaac Ejdum
63'
🔁Filip Bundgaard Kristensenout: Sho Fukuda
63'
🔁Jacob Brøchner Ambækout: Emmanuel Dennis
🔁Robert Silvaout: Alex Král
71'
🔁William Clemout: Thomas Delaney
71'
74'
🔁Olti Hyseniout: Patrick Mortensen
74'
🔁Christopher Olivierout: Oliver Marc Rose-Villadsen
76'
Emmanuel Dennis
🔁Andreas Corneliusout: Viktor Dadason
84'
🔁Akos Markgrafout: Junnosuke Suzuki
84'
86'
🔁Mads Frokjaer-Jensenout: Daniel Wass

Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs Brondby

52%Possession48%
16Shots2
5On target0
6Corners2
0.76xG0.06

Goals against chances

FC Copenhagen1 from 0.76 xGabout what the chances were worth
Brondby0 from 0.06 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. RamajG
  • 2F. BeijmoD
  • 4A. SørensenD
  • 6A. MarkgráfD
  • 24B. MelingD
  • 21M. Emil MadsenM
  • 36W. ClemM
  • 13R. HuescasM
  • 10M. ElyounoussiM
  • 16RobertM
  • 14A. CorneliusF
Substitutes
  • 27T. DelaneyM
  • 39V. DadasonF
  • 7M. CarrizoF
  • 33A. KrálM
  • 15M. LópezD
  • 28Hunor Vajk NémethM
  • 31R. RúnarssonG
  • 20J. SuzukiD
  • 44G. VianneyF
Coach: B. Svensson
Brondby 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. PentzG
  • 3Christopher OlivierD
  • 32F. AlvesD
  • 4L. BinksD
  • 24M. DivkovićD
  • 99B. SliszM
  • 18M. EjdumM
  • 11F. BundgaardM
  • 29M. Frøkjær-JensenM
  • 7O. HyseniM
  • 38J. AmbækF
Substitutes
  • 10D. WassM
  • 37R. CanutD
  • 17E. DennisF
  • 19S. FukudaF
  • 15C. WintherM
  • 9P. MortensenF
  • 2O. VilladsenD
  • 50W. Sonne SchmidG
  • 30J. VanlerbergheD
Coach: Thomas Nörgaard

Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Brondby

FC Copenhagen

Superliga

  • W2-0away to Sonderjyske2 November 2026
  • D1-1Odense26 October 2026
  • D1-1Aarhus18 October 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026

Brondby

Superliga

  • W2-0Aarhus1 November 2026
  • W3-1away to Randers FC23 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Odense18 October 2026
  • W5-2Lyngby11 October 2026

What these results say

  • FC Copenhagen scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • FC Copenhagen failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Copenhagen conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Brondby scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Brondby won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Brondby conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Copenhagen1410222912+1732
5Brondby147162321+222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Brondby

  • 20 September 2026Brondby 0–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 21 May 2026Brondby 1–3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 23 November 2025FC Copenhagen 1–0 BrondbySuperliga
  • 13 September 2025Brondby 2–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 4 May 2025Brondby 0–3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 13 April 2025FC Copenhagen 1–2 BrondbySuperliga

Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Brondby

FC Copenhagen

GoalsAssists

  • M. Elyounoussi72
  • B. Meling51

Brondby

GoalsAssists

  • M. Frøkjær-Jensen51
  • O. Hyseni43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Copenhagen beat Brondby 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Copenhagen its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: William Clem 54' for FC Copenhagen. On expected goals it finished 0.76–0.06.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Copenhagen a 31.8% chance to finish top of the regular season: 37.7% after a win, 25.6% after a draw, 20.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 37.7%, 5.9 points higher than before the match.

For Brondby the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 90.5% going in: 96.5% after a win, 92.2% after a draw, 88.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 88.1%, 2.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Copenhagen v Brondby has moved

First published on 25 Oct at 55% / 23% / 22% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 53% / 24% / 23%: the biggest move is FC Copenhagen's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. FC Copenhagen win53%▼ −2
  2. Draw24%▲ +1
  3. Brondby win23%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.