Odense vs Viborg Superliga prediction & result
Final score: Odense 1-2 Viborg.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Odense, 28% draw, 38% Viborg — fair odds of 2.94, 3.57 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Viborg at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Odense vs Viborg
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16V. MyhraG
- 28Magnus Hvitfeldt AndersenD
- 4Julian Andreas PauliD
- 13J. Berthel AskouD
- 15M. McCoyD
- 22I. OuédraogoM
- 6F. UlvestadM
- 14C. GammelgaardM
- 7J. ArpM
- 9T. KeskinenM
- 17N. GanausF
- 8R. FalkM
- 1M. HansenG
- 18A. Ahl-HolmströmF
- 5U. Yttergård JenssenD
- 19Nikolaj Juul-SandbergM
- 26Lasse LegolasF
- 24M. RaknebergD
- 3A. SørensenD
- 10A. SuhonenM
- 20K. KiilerichG
- 26Hjalte BidstrupD
- 4L. KirkegaardD
- 5Ž. ZaletelD
- 23O. BundgaardD
- 8A. BeckM
- 13J. GrønningM
- 6M. SøndergaardM
- 10S. JalalF
- 19Dorian HanzaF
- 11C. NouckF
- 1L. LundG
- 36Adam Kleis-KristoffersenF
- 33Frederik DamkjerM
- 3V. Lunddal FriðrikssonD
- 28L. CoulibalyM
- 24D. AnyembeD
- 18R. AlteM
- 25GiulioF
- 34Philip KellerM
Form going into Odense vs Viborg
Odense
Superliga
- W4-1Silkeborg1 November 2026
- D1-1away to FC Copenhagen26 October 2026
- W2-1Brondby18 October 2026
- D0-0away to FC Nordsjaelland9 October 2026
Viborg
Superliga
- W1-0AC Horsens1 November 2026
- L1-2away to Aarhus25 October 2026
- L1-2FC Midtjylland19 October 2026
- W2-0away to Randers FC11 October 2026
What these results say
- Odense went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Odense scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Odense conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Viborg scored in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Odense | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 3 | Viborg | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | +9 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Odense vs Viborg
- 24 July 2026Viborg 1–0 OdenseSuperliga
- 19 October 2025Viborg 1–2 OdenseSuperliga
- 27 July 2025Odense 3–1 ViborgSuperliga
- 25 May 2024Viborg 2–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 12 April 2024Odense 1–3 ViborgSuperliga
- 16 February 2024Viborg 1–2 OdenseSuperliga
Leading scorers: Odense and Viborg
Odense
GoalsAssists
- N. Ganaus40
- J. Arp40
Viborg
GoalsAssists
- Dorian Hanza61
- M. Søndergaard43
- C. Nouck33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Viborg won 2–1 at Odense. The model had made a win for Viborg its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mads Søndergaard Clausen 11' for Viborg, Lukas Kirkegaard 45' for Viborg, Jann-Fiete Arp 68' for Odense. On expected goals it finished 1.36–1.74.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Odense a 43.7% chance to finish in the top six: 57.4% after a win, 41.6% after a draw, 33.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.3%, 10.4 points lower than before the match.
For Viborg the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 96.3% going in: 99.1% after a win, 96.7% after a draw, 93.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 99.1%, 2.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Odense v Viborg has moved
First published on 24 Oct at 30% / 28% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 34% / 28% / 38%: the biggest move is Odense's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Odense win34%▲ +4
- Draw28%=
- Viborg win38%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.