Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Inter Club d'Escaldes 1-3 Universitatea Craiova.
Before kick-off the model made it 23% Inter Club d'Escaldes, 25% draw, 52% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 4.35, 4.00 and 1.92.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Craiova at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Javier DíazG
- 24Maurizio PochettinoD
- 4Álex SánchezD
- 2Anwar HernandezD
- 3Jilmar TorresD
- 6Víctor AlonsoM
- 11Domi BerlangaM
- 19Pablo MolinaM
- 8David LópezM
- 31Soule SidibeM
- 9Faysal ChouaibF
- 7Juan CamaraM
- 70Borja ArellanoF
- 23Lamine DiabyD
- 99RafinhaF
- 18Robin LafargeD
- 1Pol FreixanetG
- 27Rodrigo RosáriaG
- 17Adrian Da CunhaD
- 21Marc RodríguezD
- 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
- 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
- 24Nikola StevanovićD
- 6Vladimir ScreciuD
- 17Carlos MoraM
- 16João LameiraM
- 8Tudor BăluțăM
- 11Nicușor BancuM
- 20Alexandru CicâldăuF
- 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
- 10Ștefan BaiaramF
- 22Simon ElisorF
- 23Samuel TelesM
- 30David MateiM
- 29Luca BăsceanuM
- 1Alexandru MaximG
- 90Răzvan SavaG
- 5Baptiste RouxD
- 31Ronaldo WebsterD
- 4Alexandru CrețuM
Form going into Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova
Inter Club d'Escaldes
UEFA Europa Conference League
- L0-2away to Mjallby AIF15 October 2026
Universitatea Craiova
UEFA Europa Conference League
- D1-1Getafe15 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 8 | Universitatea Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Universitatea Craiova won 3–1 at Inter Club d'Escaldes. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: A. Al Hamlawi 3' for Universitatea Craiova, S. Baiaram 5' for Universitatea Craiova, B. Arellano 77' for Inter Club d'Escaldes, S. Elisor 86' for Universitatea Craiova. On expected goals it finished 0.51–1.95.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.