FC Minsk vs Baranovichi Premier League prediction & result
Final score: FC Minsk 1-3 Baranovichi.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% FC Minsk, 25% draw, 21% Baranovichi — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Belarusian Premier League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Minsk at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Minsk vs Baranovichi
Line-ups
- 30A. GutorG
- 88G. AbdulD
- 3A. SokolD
- 66Francisco CamposD
- 19K. KuchinskiyM
- 29I. DubinetsM
- 23A. TurichM
- 15V. YatskevichM
- 7H. GomisF
- 9M. DieyeF
- 80A. KsenofontovF
- 6F. AbenaM
- 2V. DikhtievskiyD
- 16M. GerashchenkoG
- 4R. KhadarkevichD
- 22A. MakasF
- 24S. MatusevichM
- 8A. MigdalenokM
- 79I. SviridenkoD
- 10G. ZherdevM
- 12D. ShapkoG
- 11N. RyabykhD
- 19A. BruyD
- 33Kirill MuzychenkoD
- 23V. VasilenkoD
- 8V. BalbukhM
- 6Alibi TuzakbaevM
- 22M. BondarenkoM
- 10F. LebedevM
- 34A. PetrenkoM
- 77M. ArtyukhF
- 93A. DresmanisG
- 5V. FedotovD
- 88Z. GitselevM
- 9E. LapunM
- 29S. PenchukM
- 96V. PotorochaM
- 7T. PukhovM
- 17M. ShevchenkoM
- 97T. TkachevD
Form going into FC Minsk vs Baranovichi
FC Minsk
Premier League
- L2-4away to FC Isloch Minsk R.17 October 2026
- L0-1Torpedo Zhodino10 October 2026
Baranovichi
Premier League
- L0-1FC Vitebsk17 October 2026
- L0-3away to Neman10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Belarus Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Minsk | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 35 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Minsk vs Baranovichi
- 13 June 2026Baranovichi 2–1 FC MinskPremier League
Leading scorers: FC Minsk and Baranovichi
FC Minsk
GoalsAssists
- A. Sokol10
Baranovichi
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 30 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Baranovichi won 3–1 at FC Minsk. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Minsk at 54% and given a win for Baranovichi 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Martin Artyukh 42' for Baranovichi, Fedor lebedev 46' for Baranovichi, stanislav matusevich 68' for FC Minsk, E. Torekul (penalty) 88' for Baranovichi.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Baranovichi a 4.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: under 1% after a win, 2.4% after a draw, 6.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at under 1%, 4.2 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.