6 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Noah vs FC Sion UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Abovyan City Stadium, Abovyan
Full time2 – 2

Final score: FC Noah 2-2 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% FC Noah, 28% draw, 32% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Noah at 40% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Noah4%Draw93%FC Sion3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

4'
Nias Hefti
⚽Helder Ferreira (pen)
5'
13'
⚽W. Boteliassist: F. Surdez
⚽G. Manvelyanassist: Helder Ferreira
20'
26'
Nias Hefti
26'
Nias Hefti
30'
🔁R. Nivokaziout: Marquinhos Cipriano
🔁H. Hambardzumyanout: E. Boakye
32'
🔁D. Sualeheout: M. Pavlovic
46'
57'
⚽I. Chouarefassist: W. Boteli
🔁M. Lazeticout: V. Costache
60'
60'
🔁F. Surdezout: D. Rrudhani
60'
🔁W. Boteliout: T. Berdayes
Stone Muzalimoja Mambo
64'
🔁G. Manvelyanout: S. Muradyan
67'
75'
🔁I. Chouarefout: J. Lukembila

Match stats — FC Noah vs FC Sion

53%Possession47%
11Shots15
4On target6
1Corners2

Line-ups

FC Noah 4-3-3
  • 99Figueira DanielG
  • 19H. HambardzumyanD
  • 39N. SaintiniD
  • 4S. MamboD
  • 33D. SualeheD
  • 14T. OshimaM
  • 10G. ManvelyanM
  • 17G. SangareM
  • 7Helder FerreiraM
  • 8M. LazeticF
  • 44M. JakolisM
Substitutes
  • 29A. ConeglianG
  • 20V. CostacheF
  • 23A. KhamoyanM
  • 21M. PavlovicD
  • 5M. AvetisyanD
  • 3S. MuradyanD
  • 18K. DoumbiaF
  • 6E. BoakyeD
  • 24Z. KhudaverdyanF
Coach: Sandro Perkovic
FC Sion 4-4-2
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 7I. ChouarefM
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 8BaltazarM
  • 19F. SurdezM
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 13W. BoteliM
Substitutes
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 40S. CailletG
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 55L. VillaD
  • 38R. KesslerD
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 29T. BerdayesF
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
Coach: Didier Tholot

Form going into FC Noah vs FC Sion

FC Noah

  • W2-1Zimbru30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Zimbru23 July 2026

FC Sion

  • W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
  • W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
  • L2-4away to BSC Young Boys26 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Bate Borisov23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FC Noah vs FC Sion

  • 6 August 2026FC Noah 2–2 FC SionUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FC Noah and FC Sion

FC Noah

No leading scorers listed yet.

FC Sion

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango5 goals4 assists
  • J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
  • D. Rrudhani3 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.