6 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Raków Częstochowa 0-0 Hammarby FF.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Raków Częstochowa, 16% draw, 13% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 1.41, 6.25 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Raków Częstochowa at 71% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Raków Częstochowa8%Draw89%Hammarby FF3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
N. Persson
🔁F. Tudorout: D. G. Debohi
25'
🔁M. Bulatout: O. Kwiatkowski
65'
🔁J. C. Silvaout: E. Otieno
65'
66'
🔁V. Lindout: P. Abraham
66'
🔁N. Besaraout: M. Madjed
M. Ameyaw
73'
79'
🔁M. Karlssonout: O. Johansson
79'
🔁F. Adjeiout: A. Boudri
81'
F. Winther
90+3'
🔁N. Perssonout: W. Renecke

Match stats — Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF

0%Possession0%
5On target6
3Corners6

Line-ups

Raków Częstochowa 3-4-3
  • 1K. TrelowskiG
  • 7F. TudorD
  • 25B. RacovitanD
  • 4S. SvarnasD
  • 20J. C. SilvaM
  • 6O. RepkaM
  • 10V. KocherginM
  • 19M. AmeyawM
  • 11M. EmreliF
  • 9P. MakuchF
  • 5M. BulatM
Substitutes
  • 29W. ZolneczkoG
  • 71T. KaricG
  • 2J. NapierajM
  • 15O. KwiatkowskiM
  • 17J. JendrykaM
  • 21T. PienkoM
  • 23K. StruskiM
  • 26E. OtienoM
  • 39I. BrusbergM
Coach: Dawid Kroczek
Hammarby FF 4-2-3-1
  • 1W. HahnG
  • 2H. SkoglundD
  • 4V. ErikssonD
  • 6I. FofanaD
  • 3F. WintherD
  • 5T. TekieM
  • 8M. KarlssonM
  • 28F. AdjeiM
  • 20N. BesaraM
  • 16N. PerssonD
  • 9V. LindM
Substitutes
  • 27F. JakobssonG
  • 50B. NorellG
  • 7P. AbrahamF
  • 11O. JohanssonM
  • 15O. Hagen
  • 17A. BoudriM
  • 22W. Lindberg
  • 24W. ReneckeD
  • 26M. MadjedM
Coach: Kalle Karlsson

Form going into Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF

Raków Częstochowa

  • L1-2away to Slask Wroclaw2 August 2026
  • W4-0away to Valletta FC30 July 2026
  • L1-2Wisla Plock26 July 2026
  • W3-1Valletta FC23 July 2026

Hammarby FF

  • L1-3away to Anderlecht30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to IF Brommapojkarna26 July 2026
  • D1-1Anderlecht23 July 2026
  • W4-0Degerfors IF19 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Raków Częstochowa and Hammarby FF in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
18Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa81071018-83
3Hammarby FFAllsvenskan2112454820+2840

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · Allsvenskan

Head-to-head: Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF

  • 6 August 2026Raków Częstochowa 0–0 Hammarby FFUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Raków Częstochowa and Hammarby FF

Raków Częstochowa

  • P. Makuch5 goals
  • M. Emreli3 goals1 assists

Hammarby FF

  • P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
  • V. Lind9 goals11 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.