6 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Riga vs Gyori ETO FC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Skonto stadions, Riga
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Riga 1-0 Gyori ETO FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 17% Riga, 22% draw, 61% Gyori ETO FC — fair odds of 5.88, 4.55 and 1.64. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gyori ETO FC at 61% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽B. Selyem (OG)
3'
Paulo
18'
61'
🔁C. Bumbaout: M. Huszar
🔁Reginaldo Ramiresout: M. Badamosi
66'
Raki Aouani
73'
🔁M. Diopout: A. Cernomordijs
77'
🔁R. Aouaniout: A. Taiwo
77'
80'
🔁N. Njieout: D. Stefulj
🔁A. Salazarout: M. Tonisevs
88'
🔁Iago Siqueiraout: S. Oulad M'Hand
88'
90+1'
🔁S. Schonout: N. Csorba

Match stats — Riga vs Gyori ETO FC

61%Possession39%
18Shots4
5On target2
8Corners1

Line-ups

Riga 4-2-3-1
  • 91F. OrolsG
  • 13R. JurkovskisD
  • 21B. MusahD
  • 33Paulo EduardoD
  • 17A. SalazarD
  • 40A. AnkrahM
  • 4O. GaloM
  • 22M. Diop
  • 8Iago SiqueiraM
  • 7R. AouaniM
  • 10Reginaldo RamiresF
Substitutes
  • 1K. ZviedrisG
  • 44M. KazainisG
  • 34A. CernomordijsD
  • 25A. TaiwoF
  • 23M. TonisevsD
  • 19M. BadamosiF
  • 18S. Oulad M'HandM
  • 99Caio FerreiraM
  • 5K. WassomD
Coach: Adrian Gula
Gyori ETO FC 3-4-3
  • 99S. PetrasG
  • 26A. UmathumD
  • 37N. UrblikD
  • 24M. KrpicD
  • 53B. SelyemM
  • 47A. DecsyM
  • 14M. SzepM
  • 17S. SchonM
  • 11N. NjieF
  • 34V. DjukanovicF
  • 10C. BumbaF
Substitutes
  • 16B. MegyeriG
  • 64D. BrecskaG
  • 2S. VladoiuD
  • 23D. StefuljD
  • 20B. BiroD
  • 18M. Lamin MassM
  • 55K. KoszasD
  • 96M. HuszarF
  • 90K. BanatiM
Coach: Efrain Juarez

Form going into Riga vs Gyori ETO FC

Riga

  • W3-2away to Vardar Skopje22 July 2026

Gyori ETO FC

  • W4-0Nyiregyhaza2 August 2026
  • D1-1Atert Bissen30 July 2026
  • D2-2away to Vasas26 July 2026
  • W6-2away to Atert Bissen21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Riga and Gyori ETO FC in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
1Gyori ETO FCNB I7331149+512

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Riga has not started the league season yet. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · NB I

Head-to-head: Riga vs Gyori ETO FC

  • 6 August 2026Riga 1–0 Gyori ETO FCUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.