6 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Full time3 – 0

Final score: FK Partizan 3-0 FK Tobol Kostanay.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% FK Partizan, 22% draw, 26% FK Tobol Kostanay — fair odds of 1.92, 4.55 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Partizan at 52% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Partizan99%Draw1%FK Tobol Kostanay0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Aleksic
3'
⚽D. Seck
32'
M. Vukotic
44'
•E. Kojzek
54'
⚽I. Zubairuassist: E. Kojzek
64'
68'
🔁U. Milovanovicout: V. Lisakovich
🔁M. Aleksicout: A. Zekovic
72'
🔁I. Zubairuout: N. Trifunovic
72'
🔁E. Kojzekout: M. Lekic
78'
78'
🔁A. Zuevout: L. Guerra
82'
🔁A. Tagybergenout: M. Myakish
🔁D. Seckout: C. Traore
84'
🔁M. Roganovicout: S. Milic
84'
86'
A. Cisse
90+1'
M. Myakish
V. Djurdjevic
90+8'
M. Lekic
90+9'
⚽C. Traore
90'

Match stats — FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay

55%Possession45%
7On target2
6Corners4

Line-ups

FK Partizan 4-3-3
  • 31M. KrunicG
  • 30M. RoganovicD
  • 40N. SimicD
  • 23S. MitrovicD
  • 24V. DjurdjevicD
  • 11M. VukoticM
  • 17M. AleksicM
  • 99B. KosticM
  • 19D. SeckM
  • 9E. KojzekF
  • 39I. ZubairuM
Substitutes
  • 1M. MilosevicG
  • 5M. MilovanovicD
  • 7C. TraoreM
  • 8A. ZekovicM
  • 20S. NwuluM
  • 32N. Trifunovic
  • 33S. PetrovicD
  • 42M. NinicF
  • 44S. MilicD
Coach: Sasa Ilic
FK Tobol Kostanay 4-2-3-1
  • 44D. UstimenkoG
  • 21N. ZhagorovM
  • 72R. SenhadjiD
  • 5P. NdiayeD
  • 25A. BorsicD
  • 13A. CisseM
  • 8A. TagybergenM
  • 10I. ChesnokovM
  • 14A. TalalM
  • 17A. ZuevM
  • 18U. MilovanovicF
Substitutes
  • 1S. BusurmanovG
  • 35Y. Melikhov
  • 3R. AsrankulovD
  • 4N. CavnicD
  • 6M. MyakishM
  • 19D. ZhumatM
  • 22A. MarochkinD
  • 30L. GuerraM
  • 34S. Bakhytkiriev
Coach: Miroslav Romashchenko

Form going into FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Partizan

  • W1-0away to UNA Strassen30 July 2026
  • W4-0UNA Strassen23 July 2026

FK Tobol Kostanay

  • D1-1Panevėžys30 July 2026
  • D1-1away to Panevėžys23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs FK Tobol Kostanay

  • 6 August 2026FK Partizan 3–0 FK Tobol KostanayUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FK Partizan and FK Tobol Kostanay

FK Partizan

  • E. Kojzek2 goals2 assists

FK Tobol Kostanay

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.