6 September 2026, 14:30 UTC

FC Sion vs FC Thun Super League prediction & result

Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
Full time3 – 2

Final score: FC Sion 3-2 FC Thun.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% FC Sion, 27% draw, 23% FC Thun — fair odds of 2.00, 3.70 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Sion at 50% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Sion5%Draw92%FC Thun3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽Jan Bamertassist: Fabio Fehr
Fodé Sylla
16'
⚽Noé Sowassist: Donat Rrudhani
21'
45'
🔁Dorian Derbaciout: Nico Maier
45'
🔁Olivier Mambwaout: Tom Strannegard
45'
🔁Mattias Käitout: Justin·Roth
⚽Donat Rrudhani (pen)
53'
60'
🔁fabio saizout: Nassim Zoukit
Franck Surdez
61'
🔁Winsley Boteli Mokangoout: Rilind Nivokazi
67'
🔁Franck Surdezout: Josias Lukembila
67'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Ylyas Chouaref
67'
71'
⚽Fabio Fehrassist: Furkan Dursun
75'
Justin·Roth
🔁Marquinhos Ciprianoout: Nias Hefti
78'
78'
🔁Furkan Dursunout: Noah Christoffersson
79'
Marco Burki
⚽Josias Lukembila
90+4'

Match stats — FC Sion vs FC Thun

49%Possession51%
14Shots15
6On target4
11Corners4

Line-ups

FC Sion 4-1-4-1
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 5N. SowD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 37F. SyllaM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 19F. SurdezM
  • 13Winsley Boteli MokangoF
Substitutes
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 7I. ChouarefF
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 22A. LlukesM
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 33R. NivokaziF
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 55L. VillaD
Coach: D. Tholot
FC Thun 4-4-2
  • 1N. SteffenG
  • 47F. FehrD
  • 19J. BamertD
  • 23M. BürkiD
  • 2O. MambwaD
  • 70N. ReichmuthM
  • 14M. KäitM
  • 8F. SaizM
  • 21D. DerbaciM
  • 96B. LabeauF
  • 9F. DursunF
Substitutes
  • 13N. ZoukitM
  • 5N. BürgyD
  • 26N. ChristofferssonF
  • 37L. DählerD
  • 80S. LengenF
  • 30N. MaierM
  • 16J. RothM
  • 25T. SpycherG
  • 18T. StrannegårdM
Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli

Form going into FC Sion vs FC Thun

FC Sion

  • W2-1away to FC Basel 18933 September 2026
  • L1-2FC Lugano30 August 2026

FC Thun

  • D0-0Lausanne2 September 2026
  • W4-3away to FC St. Gallen30 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Sion86022213+918
10FC Thun82151322-97

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Sion vs FC Thun

  • 6 September 2026FC Sion 3–2 FC ThunSuper League
  • 10 May 2026FC Sion 2–0 FC ThunSuper League
  • 15 February 2026FC Thun 1–0 FC SionSuper League
  • 1 November 2025FC Thun 2–1 FC SionSuper League
  • 25 October 2025FC Sion 0–1 FC ThunSuper League
  • 22 April 2024FC Thun 1–0 FC SionChallenge League

Leading scorers: FC Sion and FC Thun

FC Sion

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango5 goals4 assists
  • J. Lukembila3 goals4 assists
  • D. Rrudhani3 goals1 assists

FC Thun

  • B. Labeau3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.