7 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Vaduz vs FC Sion Super League prediction & result

Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Full time0 – 4

Final score: FC Vaduz 0-4 FC Sion.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% FC Vaduz, 25% draw, 40% FC Sion — fair odds of 2.86, 4.00 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Sion at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Vaduz0%Draw1%FC Sion99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
⚽Rilind Nivokaziassist: Donat Rrudhani
15'
⚽Rilind Nivokaziassist: Théo Berdayes
34'
⚽Ylyas Chouarefassist: Théo Berdayes
🔁Nicolas Haslerout: mischa beeli
36'
🔁Dominik Schwizerout: Malik Sawadogo
36'
🔁Mattia walkerout: Lado Akhalaia
36'
54'
⚽Théo Berdayesassist: Ylyas Chouaref
Malik Sawadogo
56'
63'
🔁Donat Rrudhaniout: Franck Surdez
63'
🔁Ylyas Chouarefout: Josias Lukembila
🔁Juan Cabreraout: Niklas Lang
65'
🔁Marcel Monsbergerout: Dejan Djokic
66'
78'
🔁Rilind Nivokaziout: Benjamin Kololli
78'
🔁Ali Kabacalmanout: Fodé Sylla
84'
🔁Numa Lavanchyout: Damien Moschinger

Match stats — FC Vaduz vs FC Sion

61%Possession39%
20Shots11
6On target7
7Corners1
2.73xG1.91

Goals against chances

FC Vaduz0 from 2.73 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Sion4 from 1.91 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Vaduz 4-1-2-1-2
  • 25L. SchaffranG
  • 4N. HaslerD
  • 6D. SimaniD
  • 5L. BerishaD
  • 7D. SchwizerD
  • 30Mattia WalkerM
  • 23M. HammerichM
  • 10Juan CabreraM
  • 28M. ĆoćićM
  • 11L. DalipiF
  • 9M. MonsbergerF
Substitutes
  • 24L. AkhalaiaF
  • 14M. BeeliD
  • 1B. BüchelG
  • 37L. CelentanoD
  • 19D. DjokicF
  • 22M. EberhardM
  • 18D. KasperF
  • 27N. LangD
  • 29M. SawadogoD
Coach: M. Schneider
FC Sion 4-2-3-1
  • 1A. RacioppiG
  • 14N. LavanchyD
  • 28K. HajriziD
  • 17J. KronigD
  • 20N. HeftiD
  • 88A. KabacalmanM
  • 8Baltazar CostaM
  • 7I. ChouarefM
  • 29T. BerdayesM
  • 77D. RrudhaniM
  • 33R. NivokaziF
Substitutes
  • 19F. SurdezF
  • 5N. SowD
  • 12F. RubertoG
  • 24Damien MoschingerD
  • 9J. LukembilaF
  • 10B. KololliM
  • 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
  • 21L. ChipperfieldM
  • 37F. SyllaM
Coach: D. Tholot

Form going into FC Vaduz vs FC Sion

FC Vaduz

Super League

  • D2-2away to Grasshoppers31 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Servette FC24 October 2026
  • W3-0FC Basel 189311 October 2026
  • L1-2FC Thun20 September 2026

FC Sion

Super League

  • D1-1away to FC Luzern31 October 2026
  • W1-0Lausanne25 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Servette FC10 October 2026
  • D1-1FC Zurich19 September 2026

What these results say

  • FC Vaduz scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for FC Vaduz had three goals or more.
  • FC Vaduz failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Sion failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Sion scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FC Sion conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11FC Vaduz133192429-510
3FC Sion138232918+1126

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Vaduz vs FC Sion

  • 9 August 2026FC Sion 3–2 FC VaduzSuper League
  • 6 April 2024FC Sion 2–2 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 16 February 2024FC Vaduz 1–2 FC SionChallenge League
  • 10 November 2023FC Sion 3–3 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 23 July 2023FC Vaduz 0–2 FC SionChallenge League
  • 11 April 2021FC Vaduz 3–0 FC SionSuper League

Leading scorers: FC Vaduz and FC Sion

FC Vaduz

GoalsAssists

  • M. Monsberger61
  • L. Dalipi59
  • Juan Cabrera50

FC Sion

GoalsAssists

  • Winsley Boteli Mokango64
  • R. Nivokazi50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Sion won 4–0 at FC Vaduz. The model had made a win for FC Sion its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Rilind Nivokazi 11' for FC Sion, Rilind Nivokazi 15' for FC Sion, Ylyas Chouaref 34' for FC Sion, Théo Berdayes 54' for FC Sion. On expected goals it finished 2.73–1.91.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Vaduz a 36.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 25.4% after a win, 36.4% after a draw, 45.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.1%, 8.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.