Grasshoppers vs Lausanne Super League prediction & result
Final score: Grasshoppers 1-1 Lausanne.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Grasshoppers, 28% draw, 31% Lausanne — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Grasshoppers at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Grasshoppers vs Lausanne
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 71J. HammelG
- 28S. StroscioD
- 44B. PllanaD
- 58Yannik BettkoberD
- 57Nico RissiD
- 6A. AbrashiM
- 66Manex GibelaldeM
- 24K. GoudmijnM
- 11G. MorandiF
- 18Lee Young-JunF
- 17S. KrasniqiF
- 34A. ArigoniD
- 45Eron AvdullahuG
- 10Óscar ClementeM
- 25J. HiltonD
- 4L. MikulicD
- 9N. MuciF
- 55D. PapicM
- 56D. SahinM
- 81J. von MoosF
- 90M. MastilG
- 2B. SoppyD
- 71K. SowD
- 31N. CozzaD
- 18M. PoatyD
- 91F. MolletM
- 29A. BlinM
- 10O. CustodioM
- 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
- 78Omar JannehF
- 9E. MolébéF
- 4É. YoutéD
- 51I. Bah Mendes MayalaF
- 6T. BergvallD
- 1T. CastellaG
- 22T. CordierD
- 80S. KonéM
- 47Papa Souleymane N'DiayeM
- 5D. NgonzoD
- 17S. TraoreF
Form going into Grasshoppers vs Lausanne
Grasshoppers
Super League
- D2-2FC Vaduz31 October 2026
- D0-0away to FC Basel 189325 October 2026
- L0-2BSC Young Boys11 October 2026
- L1-5away to FC Luzern19 September 2026
Lausanne
Super League
- L4-5FC Thun1 November 2026
- L0-1away to FC Sion25 October 2026
- L0-1away to FC St. Gallen11 October 2026
- L0-4FC Lugano20 September 2026
What these results say
- Grasshoppers did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Grasshoppers conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lausanne did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Lausanne conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Lausanne failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Grasshoppers vs Lausanne
- 25 July 2026Lausanne 1–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 16 May 2026Lausanne 1–3 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 8 March 2026Grasshoppers 2–3 LausanneSuper League
- 24 January 2026Lausanne 1–1 GrasshoppersSuper League
- 14 September 2025Grasshoppers 3–1 LausanneSuper League
- 22 February 2025Lausanne 2–2 GrasshoppersSuper League
The result against the call
Grasshoppers and Lausanne drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Grasshoppers at 41% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Kenzo Goudmijn 29' for Grasshoppers, Seydou Traore 85' for Lausanne. On expected goals it finished 1.44–2.14.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Grasshoppers a 82.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 75.0% after a win, 86.3% after a draw, 90.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 86.3%, 4.2 points higher than before the match.
For Lausanne the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 95.9% going in: 92.4% after a win, 96.6% after a draw, 98.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 96.6%, 0.7 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.