FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil Challenge League prediction & result
Final score: FC WIL 1900 2-2 Rapperswil.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% FC WIL 1900, 26% draw, 31% Rapperswil — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC WIL 1900 at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1G. Muslija
- 13D. Kaiba
- 15Y. Schmid
- 23I. Okafor
- 21P. Sutter
- 17T. Staubli
- 10N. Rupp
- 19L. Schreiber
- 8O. Bunjaku
- 25X. Aliu
- 9M. Diarra
- 16J. Keller
- 26N. Ato-Zandanga
- 6B. Stillhart
- 28T. Seferovic
- 33Y. Allou
- 4D. Jacovic
- 7P. Weber
- 14L. Breedijk
- 18P. Fischer
- 18A. Omerovic
- 23R. Pousa
- 28J. Ambassa
- 37W. Le Pogam
- 3B. Morgado
- 31L. Emini
- 8V. Hamdiu
- 47M. Deme
- 7Y. Ryter
- 10S. Diarrassouba
- 9N. Mupemba
- 4I. Beka
- 5A. Durrer
- 26A. Charveys
- 22I. Maslarov
- 25R. Bobadilla
- 93A. Bakayoko
- 54M. Kurtishi
- 49D. Muzzi
- 42E. Perenzin
Form going into FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil
FC WIL 1900
Challenge League
- D1-1away to SC Kriens9 October 2026
- W5-0Stade Nyonnais18 September 2026
Rapperswil
Challenge League
- L0-3Stade Lausanne-Ouchy9 October 2026
- W3-0away to Neuchatel Xamax FC18 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Challenge League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC WIL 1900 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 14 |
| 9 | Rapperswil | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil
- 24 July 2026Rapperswil 4–5 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 11 April 2026Rapperswil 2–0 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 13 February 2026FC WIL 1900 0–2 RapperswilChallenge League
- 7 November 2025Rapperswil 1–2 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 26 August 2025FC WIL 1900 1–3 RapperswilChallenge League
- 14 July 2023FC WIL 1900 0–0 RapperswilFriendlies Clubs
The result against the call
FC WIL 1900 and Rapperswil drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FC WIL 1900 at 43% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Diarrassouba 10' for Rapperswil, T. Staubli 28' for FC WIL 1900, T. Staubli 70' for FC WIL 1900, Y. Ryter 77' for Rapperswil.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC WIL 1900 a 4.4% chance to finish in the top four: 7.1% after a win, 2.1% after a draw, 1.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 2.1%, 2.3 points lower than before the match.
For Rapperswil the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 6.6% going in: 11.8% after a win, 5.3% after a draw, 2.9% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 5.3%, 1.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Challenge League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on FC WIL 1900 v Rapperswil has moved
First published on 9 Oct at 41% / 26% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 43% / 26% / 31%: the biggest move is FC WIL 1900's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- FC WIL 1900 win43%▲ +2
- Draw26%=
- Rapperswil win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.