25 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens Challenge League prediction & result

Stade Municipal, Yverdon-les-Bains
Referee: D. Anex
Full time5 – 2

Final score: Yverdon Sport 5-2 SC Kriens.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Yverdon Sport, 27% draw, 25% SC Kriens — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Yverdon Sport at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Yverdon Sport99%Draw1%SC Kriens0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

J. Gnakpa
13'
14'
⚽E. Rufenerassist: N. Siegrist
20'
M. Francois
⚽J. Okita
23'
⚽S. Demhasajassist: B. Toma
28'
⚽B. Toma
36'
51'
E. Rufener
60'
🔁C. Wichtout: L. Maksutaj
🔁E. Pascheout: O. Doumbia
62'
🔁V. Tasarout: R. Golliard
62'
⚽B. Tomaassist: S. Demhasaj
65'
⚽J. Okitaassist: S. Demhasaj
67'
71'
⚽L. Maksutajassist: E. Rufener
🔁M. Okukaout: V. Fazliu
74'
🔁S. Demhasajout: J. Augustin
74'
76'
🔁M. Francoisout: A. Willimann
76'
🔁M. Ishuayedout: D. Ulrich
76'
🔁N. Siegristout: L. Riedmann
83'
🔁E. Rufenerout: R. Hoxha
🔁J. Okitaout: J. Mayorga
86'

Line-ups

Yverdon Sport
Coach: Guillermo Abascal
SC Kriens
Coach: Michael Winsauer

Form going into Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens

Yverdon Sport

Challenge League

  • W2-0away to Étoile Carouge9 October 2026
  • D0-0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy20 September 2026

SC Kriens

Challenge League

  • D1-1FC WIL 19009 October 2026
  • W4-1Étoile Carouge18 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Yverdon Sport136522314+923
4SC Kriens135442219+319

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Yverdon Sport vs SC Kriens

  • 7 August 2026SC Kriens 0–2 Yverdon SportChallenge League
  • 14 May 2022Yverdon Sport 3–2 SC KriensChallenge League
  • 5 February 2022SC Kriens 0–3 Yverdon SportChallenge League
  • 17 December 2021Yverdon Sport 2–0 SC KriensChallenge League
  • 22 September 2021SC Kriens 0–2 Yverdon SportChallenge League
  • 18 November 2017SC Kriens 2–1 Yverdon Sport1. Liga Promotion

The result against the call

Yverdon Sport beat SC Kriens 5–2. The model had made a win for Yverdon Sport its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: E. Rufener 14' for SC Kriens, J. Okita 23' for Yverdon Sport, S. Demhasaj 28' for Yverdon Sport, B. Toma 36' for Yverdon Sport, B. Toma 65' for Yverdon Sport, J. Okita 67' for Yverdon Sport, L. Maksutaj 71' for SC Kriens.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Yverdon Sport a 12.2% chance to win the league: 16.5% after a win, 7.6% after a draw, 5.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.5%, 4.3 points higher than before the match.

For SC Kriens the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 51.2% going in: 69.4% after a win, 54.1% after a draw, 42.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 42.3%, 8.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Challenge League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.