Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 4-1 Torreense.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Ferencvarosi TC, 28% draw, 25% Torreense — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Ferencvarosi TC at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 63Dániel István RadnótiG
- 54O. NagyD
- 4M. GómezD
- 5G. ZohoréD
- 47C. O'DowdaD
- 72Ádám MadarászM
- 6Á. NagyM
- 15D. ArzaniM
- 16K. ZachariassenM
- 7V. BirmančevićM
- 11B. YusufF
- 80H. MaïgaM
- 18Á. BagiF
- 20CaduM
- 17M. CorbuM
- 90D. DibuszG
- 75L. JosephF
- 10J. LeviF
- 76K. LisztesF
- 1Á. VargaG
- 1Lucas PaesG
- 45J. MutomboD
- 5M. DiadieD
- 4Volnei FeltesD
- 23Javi VázquezD
- 6A. OudrhiriM
- 8Alejandro AlfaroM
- 11Manu PozoM
- 33João MarquesM
- 19K. ZoabiM
- 17M. DrammehF
- 2StopiraD
- 27M. AbubakariF
- 31AdrielG
- 26André SimõesM
- 29L. QuinteroF
- 7D. JeanF
- 21Nuha JattaM
- 22David BrunoD
- 44S. HenriksenG
Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense
Ferencvarosi TC
UEFA Europa League
- W2-1Plzen15 October 2026
- W3-1away to Celtic17 September 2026
Torreense
UEFA Europa League
- L1-2Sunderland15 October 2026
- W2-1away to Lillestrom17 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Torreense
Ferencvarosi TC
GoalsAssists
- L. Joseph41
- K. Zachariassen34
- B. Yusuf22
Torreense
No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ferencvarosi TC beat Torreense 4–1. The model had made a win for Ferencvarosi TC its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Bamidele Isa Yusuf 20' for Ferencvarosi TC, Manuel Pozo 23' for Torreense, Mariano Gómez 58' for Ferencvarosi TC, Mohamed Ali Diadie (own goal) 80' for Ferencvarosi TC, Krisztian Lisztes 89' for Ferencvarosi TC. On expected goals it finished 2.11–0.79.
How the call on Ferencvarosi TC v Torreense has moved
First published on 8 Oct at 49% / 28% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 47% / 28% / 25%: the biggest move is Ferencvarosi TC's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Ferencvarosi TC win47%▼ −2
- Draw28%=
- Torreense win25%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.