6 September 2026, 15:45 UTC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest NB I prediction & result

Groupama Arena, Budapest
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 Ujpest.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Ferencvarosi TC, 30% draw, 32% Ujpest — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Ferencvarosi TC at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ferencvarosi TC4%Draw92%Ujpest4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

-5'
Matija Ljujić
8'
Miron Mucsányi
⚽Dele
20'
Toon Raemaekers
23'
⚽K. Zachariassenassist: A. Osvath
44'
45'
⚽P. Stronati
🔁A. Bagiout: K. Lisztes
46'
46'
🔁M. Mucsanyiout: G. Vlijter
55'
⚽A. Matko
🔁A. Nagyout: N. Keita
66'
🔁D. Arzaniout: V. Birmancevic
66'
75'
🔁E. Amenyidoout: T. Scharmer
75'
🔁M. Ljujicout: N. Fenyo
81'
🔁K. Horvathout: A. Ademi
Kristoffer Zachariassen
85'
Yusuf Bamidele
90+1'

Match stats — Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

56%Possession44%
17Shots9
5On target3
5Corners1

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC 4-2-3-1
  • 90D. DibuszG
  • 14A. OsvathD
  • 28T. RaemaekersD
  • 4M. GomezD
  • 20CaduD
  • 6A. NagyM
  • 17M. CorbuM
  • 11DeleM
  • 16K. ZachariassenM
  • 15D. ArzaniM
  • 18A. BagiF
Substitutes
  • 1A. VargaG
  • 54O. NagyD
  • 5N. ZohoreD
  • 71C. LakatosD
  • 22M. BeroM
  • 76K. LisztesF
  • 47C. O'DowdaM
  • 8N. KeitaM
  • 7V. BirmancevicM
Coach: Balazs Borbely
Ujpest 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. SzappanosG
  • 36F. UjvaryD
  • 3HeitorD
  • 94P. StronatiD
  • 20M. ZekeD
  • 8N. Szendrei
  • 11K. HorvathM
  • 17A. MatkoM
  • 88M. LjujicM
  • 15M. MucsanyiM
  • 14E. AmenyidoF
Substitutes
  • 32D. DomboG
  • 23D. BanaiG
  • 21T. ScharmerD
  • 2G. BodnarD
  • 5A. FiolaD
  • 30J. NunesD
  • 45A. AdemiM
  • 77N. FenyoM
  • 38K. SarkadiF
Coach: Zoltan Szelesi

Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

Ferencvarosi TC

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Puskas Academy30 August 2026
  • W4-0Trabzonspor27 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Trabzonspor20 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zalaegerszegi TE17 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Gornik Zabrze13 August 2026

Ujpest

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Vasas29 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Paks21 August 2026
  • D1-1MTK Budapest15 August 2026
  • W4-2away to Kisvarda FC8 August 2026
  • W4-2Debreceni VSC2 August 2026

What these results say

  • Ferencvarosi TC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Ferencvarosi TC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Ferencvarosi TC won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Ujpest conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Ujpest scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Ujpest.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Ferencvarosi TC126512210+1223
6Ujpest135352120+118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

  • 3 May 2026Ujpest 0–5 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 7 February 2026Ferencvarosi TC 3–0 UjpestNB I
  • 19 October 2025Ujpest 1–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 6 April 2025Ferencvarosi TC 2–0 UjpestNB I
  • 2 April 2025Ferencvarosi TC 3–1 UjpestMagyar Kupa

Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest

Ferencvarosi TC

GoalsAssists

  • B. Yusuf41
  • K. Zachariassen41
  • M. Corbu31

Ujpest

GoalsAssists

  • A. Matko63
  • E. Amenyido45
  • G. Vlijter32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Ferencvarosi TC at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Dele 20' for Ferencvarosi TC, K. Zachariassen 44' for Ferencvarosi TC, P. Stronati 45' for Ujpest, A. Matko 55' for Ujpest.

How the call on Ferencvarosi TC v Ujpest has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 41% / 30% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 38% / 30% / 32%: the biggest move is Ferencvarosi TC's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Ferencvarosi TC win38%▼ −3
  2. Draw30%=
  3. Ujpest win32%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.