6 September 2026, 15:45 UTC

Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest NB I prediction & result

Groupama Arena, Budapest
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 Ujpest.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Ferencvarosi TC, 30% draw, 32% Ujpest — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Ferencvarosi TC4%Draw92%Ujpest4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

-5'
Matija Ljujić
8'
Miron Mucsányi
⚽Dele
20'
Toon Raemaekers
23'
⚽K. Zachariassenassist: A. Osvath
44'
45'
⚽P. Stronati
🔁A. Bagiout: K. Lisztes
46'
46'
🔁M. Mucsanyiout: G. Vlijter
55'
⚽A. Matko
🔁A. Nagyout: N. Keita
66'
🔁D. Arzaniout: V. Birmancevic
66'
75'
🔁E. Amenyidoout: T. Scharmer
75'
🔁M. Ljujicout: N. Fenyo
81'
🔁K. Horvathout: A. Ademi
Kristoffer Zachariassen
85'
Yusuf Bamidele
90+1'

Match stats — Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

56%Possession44%
17Shots9
5On target3
5Corners1

Line-ups

Ferencvarosi TC 4-2-3-1
  • 90D. DibuszG
  • 14A. OsvathD
  • 28T. RaemaekersD
  • 4M. GomezD
  • 20CaduD
  • 6A. NagyM
  • 17M. CorbuM
  • 11DeleM
  • 16K. ZachariassenM
  • 15D. ArzaniM
  • 18A. BagiF
Substitutes
  • 1A. VargaG
  • 54O. NagyD
  • 5N. ZohoreD
  • 71C. LakatosD
  • 22M. BeroM
  • 76K. LisztesF
  • 47C. O'DowdaM
  • 8N. KeitaM
  • 7V. BirmancevicM
Coach: Balazs Borbely
Ujpest 4-2-3-1
  • 1P. SzappanosG
  • 36F. UjvaryD
  • 3HeitorD
  • 94P. StronatiD
  • 20M. ZekeD
  • 8N. Szendrei
  • 11K. HorvathM
  • 17A. MatkoM
  • 88M. LjujicM
  • 15M. MucsanyiM
  • 14E. AmenyidoF
Substitutes
  • 32D. DomboG
  • 23D. BanaiG
  • 21T. ScharmerD
  • 2G. BodnarD
  • 5A. FiolaD
  • 30J. NunesD
  • 45A. AdemiM
  • 77N. FenyoM
  • 38K. SarkadiF
Coach: Zoltan Szelesi

Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

Ferencvarosi TC

  • W3-0away to Gyori ETO FC3 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Puskas Academy30 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Zalaegerszegi TE17 August 2026
  • D0-0Vasas2 August 2026

Ujpest

  • W3-1Vasas29 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Paks21 August 2026
  • D1-1MTK Budapest15 August 2026
  • W4-2away to Kisvarda FC8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Ferencvarosi TC6321107+311
4Ujpest73221512+311

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest

  • 6 September 2026Ferencvarosi TC 2–2 UjpestNB I
  • 3 May 2026Ujpest 0–5 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 7 February 2026Ferencvarosi TC 3–0 UjpestNB I
  • 19 October 2025Ujpest 1–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
  • 6 April 2025Ferencvarosi TC 2–0 UjpestNB I
  • 2 April 2025Ferencvarosi TC 3–1 UjpestMagyar Kupa

Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest

Ferencvarosi TC

  • B. Yusuf2 goals1 assists

Ujpest

  • A. Matko4 goals2 assists
  • E. Amenyido3 goals3 assists
  • G. Vlijter2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.