Zlin vs Teplice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 1-3 Teplice.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Zlin, 31% draw, 34% Teplice — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Zlin at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Teplice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17S. DostalG
- 35O. KukuckaD
- 24J. CerninD
- 28J. KolarD
- 22M. FukalaD
- 19C. NombilM
- 8D. MachalikM
- 82M. Pisoja
- 4T. UlbrichM
- 11A. GaziM
- 88T. PoznarF
- 64S. BachurekG
- 31L. BartosakD
- 23M. KopecnyD
- 39A. KrapkaD
- 21D. GrygeraD
- 45P. MbatshiD
- 26M. CupakM
- 20F. AppiahM
- 10S. PetrutaM
- 29M. TrmalG
- 3J. SvandaD
- 4O. Vientiess
- 28D. VecerkaD
- 25M. Riznic
- 8J. FortelnyM
- 23L. MarecekM
- 35M. RadostaM
- 12M. CermakM
- 21I. HopiM
- 10M. PulkrabF
- 31K. LichtenbergG
- 22L. TakacsD
- 13D. TaradudaD
- 5J. JakubkoD
- 14L. KrejciM
- 19R. JuklM
- 6M. BilekM
- 37D. MarecekM
- 11M. KozakF
Form going into Zlin vs Teplice
Zlin
All competitions we cover
- L2-3away to Zbrojovka Brno29 August 2026
- L0-1Slovan Liberec22 August 2026
- L2-3away to Plzen15 August 2026
- L0-2Bohemians 19058 August 2026
- L1-3away to Sparta Praha31 July 2026
Teplice
All competitions we cover
- W2-0FK Jablonec30 August 2026
- L0-2Zbrojovka Brno23 August 2026
- L1-4away to Sparta Praha15 August 2026
- D5-5Plzen8 August 2026
- W1-0away to Slovan Liberec1 August 2026
What these results say
- Zlin did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zlin conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Teplice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 3 |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Teplice
- 12 May 2026Zlin 2–4 TepliceCzech Liga
- 18 April 2026Zlin 3–2 TepliceCzech Liga
- 19 July 2025Teplice 1–3 ZlinCzech Liga
- 11 February 2024Teplice 2–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 26 August 2023Zlin 2–1 TepliceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Teplice
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Teplice
GoalsAssists
- M. Pulkrab43
- John Auta40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Teplice won 3–1 at Zlin. The model had leaned towards a win for Zlin at 35% and given a win for Teplice 34%. The goals: M. Pulkrab 15' for Teplice, T. Zlatohlavek 54' for Teplice, J. Cernin 80' for Zlin, J. Auta 84' for Teplice. On expected goals it finished 0.96–1.35.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.