Zlin vs Teplice Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Zlin 1-3 Teplice.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Zlin, 31% draw, 34% Teplice — fair odds of 2.86, 3.23 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zlin at 35% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Zlin vs Teplice
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 17S. DostalG
- 35O. KukuckaD
- 24J. CerninD
- 28J. KolarD
- 22M. FukalaD
- 19C. NombilM
- 8D. MachalikM
- 82M. Pisoja
- 4T. UlbrichM
- 11A. GaziM
- 88T. PoznarF
- 64S. BachurekG
- 31L. BartosakD
- 23M. KopecnyD
- 39A. KrapkaD
- 21D. GrygeraD
- 45P. MbatshiD
- 26M. CupakM
- 20F. AppiahM
- 10S. PetrutaM
- 29M. TrmalG
- 3J. SvandaD
- 4O. Vientiess
- 28D. VecerkaD
- 25M. Riznic
- 8J. FortelnyM
- 23L. MarecekM
- 35M. RadostaM
- 12M. CermakM
- 21I. HopiM
- 10M. PulkrabF
- 31K. LichtenbergG
- 22L. TakacsD
- 13D. TaradudaD
- 5J. JakubkoD
- 14L. KrejciM
- 19R. JuklM
- 6M. BilekM
- 37D. MarecekM
- 11M. KozakF
Form going into Zlin vs Teplice
Zlin
- L2-3away to Zbrojovka Brno29 August 2026
- L0-1Slovan Liberec22 August 2026
- L2-3away to Plzen15 August 2026
Teplice
- W2-0FK Jablonec30 August 2026
- L0-2Zbrojovka Brno23 August 2026
- L1-4away to Sparta Praha15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Zlin | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 0 |
| 7 | Teplice | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zlin vs Teplice
- 6 September 2026Zlin 1–3 TepliceCzech Liga
- 12 May 2026Zlin 2–4 TepliceCzech Liga
- 18 April 2026Zlin 3–2 TepliceCzech Liga
- 19 July 2025Teplice 1–3 ZlinCzech Liga
- 11 February 2024Teplice 2–1 ZlinCzech Liga
- 26 August 2023Zlin 2–1 TepliceCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Zlin and Teplice
Zlin
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Teplice
- John Auta4 goals
- M. Pulkrab3 goals1 assists
- L. Mareček3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.