Feyenoord vs Como UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Feyenoord 3-2 Como.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Feyenoord, 26% draw, 31% Como — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Feyenoord at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Feyenoord vs Como
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1T. ErnstG
- 26G. ReadD
- 6J. St. JusteD
- 35Mika MàrmolD
- 16Javi LópezD
- 8G. ZechiëlM
- 34C. VanhoutteM
- 28O. TarghallineM
- 23A. Hadj-MoussaF
- 19Nacho FerriF
- 10L. ValenteF
- 11Gonçalo BorgesF
- 36J. ZinhagelF
- 39L. BossinG
- 20M. DeijlD
- 27G. DiarraF
- 33F. KastenmeierG
- 24T. KraaijeveldM
- 57J. SchakenF
- 14S. SteijnM
- 97Robert SánchezG
- 28I. SmolčićD
- 4Jacobo Ramón NaverosD
- 99T. ChalobahD
- 3Álex ValleD
- 6Luis MillaM
- 5M. PerroneM
- 11Assane DiaoM
- 20M. BaturinaM
- 16KaikiM
- 10N. PazF
- 17Jesús RodríguezF
- 21S. RicciM
- 30M. LiberaliM
- 2M. KempfD
- 12Lorenzo Luigi GinelliG
- 9T. DouvikasF
- 13A. DossenaD
- 7L. da CunhaM
- 27Yan CoutoD
Form going into Feyenoord vs Como
Feyenoord
UEFA Champions League
- L1-5away to Barcelona9 September 2026
Como
UEFA Champions League
- W4-1RB Leipzig10 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Feyenoord | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Como | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Feyenoord and Como
Feyenoord
No player in UEFA Champions League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Como
GoalsAssists
- T. Douvikas61
- N. Paz35
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Feyenoord beat Como 3–2. The model had made a win for Feyenoord its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Assane Diao Diaoune 18' for Como, Gjivai Zechiel 20' for Feyenoord, Anis Hadj Moussa 52' for Feyenoord, Robert Sanchez (own goal) 81' for Feyenoord, Anastasios Douvikas 90+3' for Como. On expected goals it finished 0.61–1.30.
How the call on Feyenoord v Como has moved
First published on 30 Sep at 40% / 27% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 43% / 26% / 31%: the biggest move is Feyenoord's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Feyenoord win43%▲ +3
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Como win31%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.