25 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

FK Košice vs Žilina Super Liga prediction & result

Referee: I. Kruzliak
Full time2 – 2

Final score: FK Košice 2-2 Žilina.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% FK Košice, 23% draw, 36% Žilina — fair odds of 2.44, 4.35 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Košice at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Košice6%Draw89%Žilina5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
🔁M. Okalout: J. Albin
⚽A. Marasassist: M. Sovic
36'
B. Damjanovic
44'
45+2'
⚽M. Fasko (pen)
50'
⚽T. Hranica
S. Kosa
56'
🔁M. Rehusout: T. Seguchi
58'
🔁S. Kosaout: D. Magda
58'
⚽F. Lichyassist: D. Magda
62'
63'
🔁F. Kosaout: K. Bilalovic
🔁O. Kakayout: M. Mateas
73'
🔁A. Marasout: M. Rabatin
82'
🔁M. Sovicout: L. Lukacevic
83'
88'
🔁M. Faskoout: D. Homet Ruiz

Line-ups

FK Košice
  • 22M. Kira
  • 29O. Kakay
  • 26S. Kosa
  • 31T. Moore
  • 66B. Damjanovic
  • 23M. Madlenak
  • 77M. Rehus
  • 8D. Gallovic
  • 6F. Lichy
  • 15M. Sovic
  • 99A. Maras
Substitutes
  • 33F. Kalanin
  • 21D. Magda
  • 47L. Lukacevic
  • 13M. Jakubek
  • 10E. Julardzija
  • 80K. Palumets
  • 44M. Mateas
  • 9T. Seguchi
  • 27M. Rabatin
Coach: Peter Cernak
Žilina
  • 31D. Sipos
  • 17J. Minarik
  • 28A. Narimanidze
  • 2M. Okal
  • 21T. Hranica
  • 6X. Adang
  • 11F. Bzdyl
  • 20K. Bari
  • 23M. Fasko
  • 95M. Roginic
  • 7F. Kosa
Substitutes
  • 1J. Badzgon
  • 25J. Albin
  • 19M. Traore
  • 99K. Bilalovic
  • 10A. Florea
  • 16P. Ilko
  • 90D. Homet Ruiz
Coach: Vladimir Vesely

Form going into FK Košice vs Žilina

FK Košice

Super Liga

  • D1-1away to Zemplín Michalovce18 October 2026

Žilina

Super Liga

  • L2-3Dunajska Streda18 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Ružomberok11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Slovakia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6FK Košice144643226+618
3Žilina148423727+1028

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Košice vs Žilina

  • 26 July 2026Žilina 4–4 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 1 May 2026Žilina 3–1 FK KošiceCup
  • 22 February 2026FK Košice 2–2 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 4 October 2025Žilina 4–1 FK KošiceSuper Liga
  • 10 May 2025FK Košice 3–2 ŽilinaSuper Liga
  • 23 April 2025Žilina 0–0 FK KošiceSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Košice and Žilina

FK Košice

GoalsAssists

  • Aleksa Maraš63
  • M. Sovič23
  • O. Kakay21

Žilina

GoalsAssists

  • M. Faško61
  • T. Hranica31
  • D. Homet Ruiz30

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Košice and Žilina drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Košice at 41% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Maras 36' for FK Košice, M. Fasko (penalty) 45+2' for Žilina, T. Hranica 50' for Žilina, F. Lichy 62' for FK Košice.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FK Košice a 67.1% chance to finish in the top six: 76.7% after a win, 65.2% after a draw, 58.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 65.2%, 1.9 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FK Košice v Žilina has moved

First published on 11 Oct at 39% / 23% / 38% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 41% / 23% / 36%: the biggest move is FK Košice's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. FK Košice win41%▲ +2
  2. Draw23%=
  3. Žilina win36%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.