24 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Mladost, Lucani
Referee: P. Janjus
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Mladost Lucani 1-1 Vojvodina.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Mladost Lucani, 24% draw, 57% Vojvodina — fair odds of 5.26, 4.17 and 1.75.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Vojvodina at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mladost Lucani3%Draw91%Vojvodina6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
•stefan stanisavljevic
Filip Mladenović
45'
⚽Vukasin Markovicassist: mihailo todosijevic
50'
55'
🔁stefan stanisavljevicout: Nardin Mulahusejnović
55'
🔁Ifet Djakovacout: Dragan Kokanović
🔁David Djokicout: Vasil Tašovski
59'
Aleksandar Varjacic
66'
67'
🔁Lazar Randjelovićout: Marko Poletanović
67'
🔁Kornel·Szucsout: Marko Velickovic
74'
🔁milan kolarevicout: Aleksa Vukanović
76'
⚽Dejan Zukic
🔁Vukasin Markovicout: Petar Bojić
77'
🔁Filip Mladenovićout: Nemanja Petrović
77'
🔁mihailo todosijevicout: Jovan ciric
83'
🔁Dušan Jovančićout: Veljko Kijevcanin
83'
R. Ćurčić
89'
89'
Petar Sukacev

Match stats — Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina

32%Possession68%
13Shots21
3On target5
5Corners13
1.31xG2.33

Goals against chances

Mladost Lucani1 from 1.31 xGabout what the chances were worth
Vojvodina1 from 2.33 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Mladost Lucani 5-4-1
  • 1S. StamenkovićG
  • 17A. VarjačićD
  • 7N. AndrićD
  • 30N. ĆirkovićD
  • 33V. JovanovićD
  • 37F. MladenovićD
  • 36D. DjokicM
  • 32B. JovičićM
  • 29D. JovančićM
  • 22JoãoM
  • 24V. MarkovićF
Substitutes
  • 9Petar BojićM
  • 14T. BondarenkoD
  • 11O. BondžulićF
  • 25J. ĆirićM
  • 44M. CvetkovićD
  • 12M. JoksimovićD
  • 5V. KijevčaninM
  • 3N. PetrovićD
  • 99Ž. SamčovićG
Coach: R. Ćurčić
Vojvodina 4-2-3-1
  • 12D. RosićG
  • 66M. GašićD
  • 26K. SzűcsD
  • 15E. MašovićD
  • 27P. SukacevD
  • 10D. ZukićM
  • 18N. PetrovićM
  • 77L. RanđelovićM
  • 35I. ĐakovacM
  • 21M. KolarevicM
  • 19S. StanisavljevićF
Substitutes
  • 20D. KokanovićM
  • 7S. MitrovićF
  • 99N. MulahusejnovićF
  • 4M. PoletanovićM
  • 8M. VeličkovićM
  • 9A. VukanovićF
  • 1M. GočmanacG
  • 5Đ. CrnomarkovićD
  • 33Vuk BoskanF
Coach: Marko Savic

Form going into Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina

Mladost Lucani

Super Liga

  • L1-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda18 October 2026
  • D0-0OFK Beograd12 October 2026

Vojvodina

Super Liga

  • W2-0Radnicki 192317 October 2026
  • W4-1away to Radnicki NIS11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Mladost Lucani154651221-918
2Vojvodina1510233013+1732

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mladost Lucani vs Vojvodina

  • 8 February 2026Vojvodina 5–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 30 August 2025Mladost Lucani 0–0 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 13 April 2025Vojvodina 3–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 7 April 2025Mladost Lucani 1–3 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 9 November 2024Vojvodina 0–0 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
  • 6 July 2024Vojvodina 3–2 Mladost LucaniFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Mladost Lucani and Vojvodina

Mladost Lucani

GoalsAssists

  • Vasil Tasovski40

Vojvodina

GoalsAssists

  • D. Zukić81
  • N. Mulahusejnović44
  • L. Ranđelović37

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Mladost Lucani and Vojvodina drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Vojvodina at 57% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Vukasin Markovic 50' for Mladost Lucani, Dejan Zukic 76' for Vojvodina. On expected goals it finished 1.31–2.33.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Mladost Lucani a 16.4% chance to finish in the top six: 27.8% after a win, 15.6% after a draw, 12.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 15.6%, 0.8 points lower than before the match.

For Vojvodina the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 5.8% going in: 6.8% after a win, 4.4% after a draw, 3.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 4.4%, 1.4 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Mladost Lucani v Vojvodina has moved

First published on 10 Oct at 24% / 26% / 50% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 19% / 24% / 57%: the biggest move is Vojvodina's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Mladost Lucani win19%▼ −5
  2. Draw24%▼ −2
  3. Vojvodina win57%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.