GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: GIL Vicente 0-1 Academico Viseu.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% GIL Vicente, 29% draw, 36% Academico Viseu — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Academico Viseu at 36% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu
Line-ups
- 30LucãoG
- 47Ricardo EsgaioD
- 4M. Elimbi GilbertD
- 39Jonathan BuatuD
- 26WeversonD
- 6Zé CarlosM
- 86Diogo Ferreira PriosteM
- 77MuriloM
- 20Gil Pinto MartinsM
- 11Joelson FernandesM
- 23Héctor HernándezF
- 7T. TouréF
- 3EspigaresD
- 82Gonçalo Maia PereiraM
- 27A. MoreiraF
- 94SamuelG
- 44T. FerreiraG
- 12A. LausenM
- 2José SilvaD
- 45David MoreiraD
- 98EwertonG
- 75RobinhoD
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 2N. MichelisD
- 57G. CostaD
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 10Á. ZamoraM
- 33André ClóvisF
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 47L. GohiF
- 3Miguel BrauD
- 21Tomás DomingosD
- 6André CeitilM
- 18C. FerreiraM
- 45Alejandro MestanzaM
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 1Marcos LavínG
Form going into GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
- D0-0away to Famalicao30 August 2026
- W2-0Casa Pia24 August 2026
- W1-0Rio Ave9 August 2026
Academico Viseu
- L0-3FC Porto29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Maritimo22 August 2026
- L0-1Santa Clara15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | GIL Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu
- 6 September 2026GIL Vicente 0–1 Academico ViseuPrimeira Liga
- 18 October 2025Academico Viseu 2–1 GIL VicenteTaça de Portugal
- 14 January 2021GIL Vicente 3–2 Academico ViseuTaça de Portugal
- 29 April 2018Academico Viseu 1–0 GIL VicenteSegunda Liga
- 16 December 2017GIL Vicente 0–0 Academico ViseuSegunda Liga
- 5 February 2017Academico Viseu 1–2 GIL VicenteSegunda Liga
Leading scorers: GIL Vicente and Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
- Héctor Hernández3 goals1 assists
Academico Viseu
- André Clóvis2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.