Rennes vs Le Mans Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Rennes 3-2 Le Mans.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Rennes, 27% draw, 25% Le Mans — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Rennes at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rennes vs Le Mans
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 16N. LemaitreG
- 95P. FrankowskiD
- 4C. CresswellD
- 48A. Ait BoudlalD
- 26Q. MerlinD
- 17S. SzymanskiM
- 21V. RongierM
- 28A. ThomassonM
- 11M. TamariF
- 9E. LepaulF
- 90I. SoumareF
- 60K. BelazzougG
- 14B. ReynoldsD
- 24A. RouaultD
- 18M. NagidaD
- 45M. CamaraM
- 10L. BlasF
- 70A. NordinF
- 12E. MayendaF
- 65H. Do MarcolinoF
- 98N. KocikG
- 15N. BoisseD
- 21T. EyoumD
- 5H. VoyerD
- 8A. LaurayM
- 18L. BuadesM
- 29L. Bretelle
- 11A. BourabaaM
- 22L. CalodatM
- 25D. GueyeF
- 14L. MafoutaF
- 1E. HatfoutG
- 16R. TorrenteD
- 19D. SidibeD
- 23D. TraoreM
- 10J. VercruysseM
- 24M. RobinM
- 20W. HarhouzF
- 9A. RabillardF
- 7B. BrahimiF
Form going into Rennes vs Le Mans
Rennes
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Paris Saint Germain23 August 2026
Le Mans
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Stade Brestois 2922 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rennes | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rennes vs Le Mans
- 26 October 2011Le Mans 0–0 RennesCoupe de la Ligue
Leading scorers: Rennes and Le Mans
Rennes
GoalsAssists
- E. Lepaul70
- B. Dia50
- S. Szymański41
Le Mans
GoalsAssists
- L. Mafouta41
- A. Bourabaa32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rennes beat Le Mans 3–2. The model had made a win for Rennes its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. Sent off: Djibril Sidibé (Le Mans) 68'. On expected goals it finished 2.66–2.99.