Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Guingamp 1-3 RED Star FC 93.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Guingamp, 29% draw, 32% RED Star FC 93 — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Guingamp at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93
Line-ups
- 16Adrián OrtoláG
- 2E. KoffiD
- 7D. GomisD
- 24J. DiangangaD
- 5T. OllilaD
- 11T. AverlantM
- 4D. LouiserreM
- 25T. DucrocqM
- 20S. Ben BrahimM
- 21T. AhileF
- 22B. BokanguF
- 1T. BartoucheG
- 23J. ChamakhF
- 36A. DemouchyD
- 18S. KieltM
- 31J. MatondoM
- 3J. MatumonaD
- 39Vimoj Muntu Wa MunguD
- 17A. SamouraF
- 8F. Da SilvaM
- 16G. PoussinG
- 2T. MagninD
- 20D. DurivauxD
- 5J. EscartinD
- 3M. HuardD
- 6B. DangerM
- 19I. HalifaM
- 27G. KyeremehM
- 10S. KhaouiM
- 7D. DurandM
- 23J. Ikanga A NgeleF
- 25Leonardo ButaD
- 21Idrissa SabalyM
- 17S. RenelM
- 14Mahamadou DiawaraM
- 9I. DespotovicF
- 11K. CisséF
- 91K. CabralF
- 1Yanis Benchaouch MartyG
- 4E. ZidaneD
Form going into Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93
Guingamp
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Annecy12 September 2026
- D2-2away to Reims5 September 2026
- D3-3Nantes29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sochaux21 August 2026
- W1-0Boulogne14 August 2026
RED Star FC 93
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Metz14 September 2026
- W2-1away to Laval4 September 2026
- L1-4Reims29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Boulogne21 August 2026
- D0-0Sochaux14 August 2026
What these results say
- Guingamp scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Guingamp conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- RED Star FC 93 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Guingamp | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Guingamp vs RED Star FC 93
- 10 July 2026Guingamp 1–0 RED Star FC 93Friendlies Clubs
- 24 April 2026RED Star FC 93 3–2 GuingampLigue 2
- 23 August 2025Guingamp 0–4 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 1 March 2025RED Star FC 93 3–1 GuingampLigue 2
- 30 August 2024Guingamp 3–4 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
Leading scorers: Guingamp and RED Star FC 93
Guingamp
GoalsAssists
- B. Bokangu40
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
RED Star FC 93 won 3–1 at Guingamp. The model had leaned towards a win for Guingamp at 39% and given a win for RED Star FC 93 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Damien Durand 24' for RED Star FC 93, Jovany Ikanga A Ngele 38' for RED Star FC 93, Erwin Koffi 67' for Guingamp, Damien Durand 69' for RED Star FC 93. Sent off: Donacien Gomis (Guingamp) 12'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.