Angers vs Estac Troyes Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: Angers 2-0 Estac Troyes.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Angers, 28% draw, 25% Estac Troyes — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Ligue 1 (France) predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Angers at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Angers vs Estac Troyes
Line-ups
- 1Anthony LopesG
- 2C. ArcusD
- 4O. CamaraD
- 21J. LefortD
- 17J. KaluluD
- 18J. AllevinahM
- 14Y. BelkhdimM
- 8B. van den BoomenM
- 10A. SbaïM
- 19A. El OuazzaniF
- 9P. PeterF
- 26A. BermontM
- 24E. BiumlaM
- 36Bane DiattaM
- 11Djibirin HarounaF
- 93H. BelkeblaM
- 20Marius LouërD
- 27L. Rao-LisoaD
- 7U. SimbakoliF
- 16M. ZingaG
- 33P. BeachG
- 31Noah DonkorD
- 6A. MonfrayD
- 4M. DiazD
- 3A. OuzenadjiD
- 8M. DiopM
- 29D. KarimM
- 17A. MilleM
- 11I. GomisM
- 23T. NkadaM
- 9J. Le DouaronF
- 7K. DiawaraF
- 40H. KonatéG
- 39Y. KoneF
- 2L. MaronnierD
- 22H. PicardM
- 20R. RipartF
- 36I. SoukounaM
- 41Enisio CarneiroD
- 34Lassana SimakhaD
Form going into Angers vs Estac Troyes
Angers
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Le Havre12 September 2026
- L1-2Rennes6 September 2026
- W3-1away to Auxerre29 August 2026
- L0-2Lille23 August 2026
Estac Troyes
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Lille13 September 2026
- L2-6Strasbourg6 September 2026
- W2-1away to Lorient29 August 2026
- D0-0Paris FC22 August 2026
What these results say
- Angers failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Angers conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Estac Troyes failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Estac Troyes conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Angers vs Estac Troyes
- 20 April 2024Angers 2–1 Estac TroyesLigue 2
- 16 December 2023Estac Troyes 1–4 AngersLigue 2
- 27 May 2023Angers 2–1 Estac TroyesLigue 1
- 28 August 2022Estac Troyes 3–1 AngersLigue 1
- 23 January 2022Angers 2–1 Estac TroyesLigue 1
The result against the call
Angers beat Estac Troyes 2–0. The model had made a win for Angers its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Prosper Peter 42' for Angers, Amine Sbaï 57' for Angers.
How the call on Angers v Estac Troyes has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 38% / 30% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 47% / 28% / 25%: the biggest move is Angers's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- Angers win47%▲ +9
- Draw28%▼ −2
- Estac Troyes win25%▼ −7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.