IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: IFK Goteborg 3-2 Kalmar FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% IFK Goteborg, 27% draw, 35% Kalmar FF — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts IFK Goteborg at 38% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF
Line-ups
- 12Viktor AnderssonG
- 18Felix ErikssonD
- 3August ErlingmarkD
- 6Hjörtur HermannssonD
- 28Issaka SeiduD
- 7Sebastian ClemmensenM
- 23Kolbeinn ThordarsonM
- 15David KruseM
- 14Tobias HeintzM
- 29Adam Bergmark WibergF
- 24Oliver ManssonF
- 22Noah TolfD
- 8Sam LarssonM
- 30Tiago CoimbraF
- 4Rockson YeboahD
- 27Alfons BorenF
- 25Elis BishesariG
- 17Alexander JallowD
- 11Saidou Alioum MoubarakF
- 16Filip OttossonM
- 1Samuel BrolinG
- 5Melker HallbergD
- 39Lars SaetraD
- 47Aboubacar KeitaD
- 3Sivert Engh OverbyD
- 23Robert GojaniM
- 7Nassef ChourakM
- 10Marius SöderbäckM
- 21Abdussalam MagashyM
- 24Charles Sagoe Jr.M
- 13Charlie RosenqvistF
- 20Alexander AlmqvistD
- 27Fabian BjorklundM
- 9Malcolm StoltF
- 70Emeka NnamaniF
- 30Jakob KindbergG
- 12Zakarias RavikD
- 18Sodiq LawalD
Form going into IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF
IFK Goteborg
- L0-1Gent6 August 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF2 August 2026
- W3-1away to FC Levadia Tallinn30 July 2026
- L1-4away to Sirius26 July 2026
- L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn21 July 2026
Kalmar FF
- D1-1away to BK Hacken1 August 2026
- W2-1Mjallby AIF25 July 2026
- D2-2Malmo FF20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | IFK Goteborg | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF
- 9 August 2026IFK Goteborg 3–2 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 23 April 2026Kalmar FF 1–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 2 November 2024IFK Goteborg 1–1 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 14 April 2024Kalmar FF 0–1 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 30 July 2023IFK Goteborg 2–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 9 April 2023Kalmar FF 2–0 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: IFK Goteborg and Kalmar FF
IFK Goteborg
- S. Larsson7 goals2 assists
- T. Heintz6 goals5 assists
Kalmar FF
- C. Rosenquist7 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.