24 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg Eliteserien prediction & result

Briskeby Arena, Hamar
Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Ham-Kam 0-3 Rosenborg.

Before kick-off the model made it 25% Ham-Kam, 24% draw, 51% Rosenborg — fair odds of 4.00, 4.17 and 1.96.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rosenborg at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Luc Mares
41'
🔁Mohamed Ofkirout: Duarte Moreira
45'
55'
Noah Sahsah
59'
Leopold Wahlstedt
61'
🔁Noah Sahsahout: Jesper Reitan Sunde
Patrick Metcalfe
62'
🔁David Benjaminout: Danilo Al-Saed
68'
69'
⚽Luc Mares (OG)
70'
🔁Jonas Svenssonout: Mathias Ullereng Kjolo
74'
⚽Amin Chiakhaassist: Emil Konradsen Ceide
🔁Aleksander Andresenout: João Paulo Rodrigues Barros
83'
🔁Luc Maresout: Loris Mettler
83'
89'
⚽Emil Konradsen Ceideassist: Amin Chiakha
90'
🔁Amin Chiakhaout: Dino Islamović
90'
🔁Emil Konradsen Ceideout: Maciej Soboczynski
Snorre Strand Nilsen
90+2'

Match stats — Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg

34%Possession66%
12Shots21
2On target7
4Corners7
0.66xG1.77

Goals against chances

Ham-Kam0 from 0.66 xGless than the chances were worth
Rosenborg3 from 1.77 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Ham-Kam 5-3-2
  • 12M. SandbergG
  • 22S. NilsenD
  • 2M. GjoneD
  • 23F. SjølstadD
  • 3E. Amundsen-DayD
  • 5A. AndresenD
  • 17A. PoturM
  • 14L. MaresM
  • 26P. MetcalfeM
  • 11M. OfkirF
  • 28David BenjaminF
Substitutes
  • 24D. Al-SaedF
  • 27João BarrosD
  • 29B. IsufiM
  • 10L. MettlerM
  • 18Duarte MoreiraF
  • 4H. OpsahlD
  • 6W. Osnes-RingenM
  • 16A. TrondsenM
  • 33Simon Elias RusenG
Coach: T. Myhre
Rosenborg 4-4-2
  • 1L. WahlstedtG
  • 16A. WitryD
  • 4M. CeïdeD
  • 21T. NemčíkD
  • 19A. PereiraD
  • 11N. SahsahM
  • 17M. BomholtM
  • 10O. SelnæsM
  • 22J. SvenssonM
  • 18Amin ChiakhaF
  • 35E. CeïdeF
Substitutes
  • 12R. SandbergG
  • 14J. Reitan-SundeF
  • 30M. SoboczynskiF
  • 15J. MortensenD
  • 23M. MampassiD
  • 6M. KjøløM
  • 9D. IslamovićF
  • 8I. FossumM
  • 3T. SolheimD
Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Form going into Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg

Ham-Kam

Eliteserien

  • L0-2Bodo/Glimt17 October 2026
  • W4-2away to Start11 October 2026

Rosenborg

Eliteserien

  • W3-0away to Sarpsborg 08 FF18 October 2026
  • D1-1Sandefjord10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Eliteserien table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Ham-Kam2686123853-1530
3Rosenborg2614485332+2146

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg

  • 5 September 2026Rosenborg 4–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 28 September 2025Ham-Kam 4–0 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 13 July 2025Rosenborg 2–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 10 November 2024Ham-Kam 0–2 RosenborgEliteserien
  • 14 April 2024Rosenborg 1–0 Ham-KamEliteserien
  • 20 August 2023Ham-Kam 3–0 RosenborgEliteserien

Leading scorers: Ham-Kam and Rosenborg

Ham-Kam

No player in Eliteserien's leading scorers — 38 league goals as a side.

Rosenborg

GoalsAssists

  • Amin Chiakha184

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rosenborg won 3–0 at Ham-Kam. The model had made a win for Rosenborg its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Luc Mares (own goal) 69' for Rosenborg, Amin Chiakha 74' for Rosenborg, Emil Konradsen Ceide 89' for Rosenborg. On expected goals it finished 0.66–1.77.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ham-Kam a 26.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 11.3% after a win, 23.3% after a draw, 31.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.9%, 5.9 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Eliteserien season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.