Kristiansund BK vs Molde Eliteserien prediction & result
Final score: Kristiansund BK 2-1 Molde.
Before kick-off the model made it 21% Kristiansund BK, 23% draw, 56% Molde — fair odds of 4.76, 4.35 and 1.79. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Molde at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kristiansund BK vs Molde
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Michael LansingG
- 22Haakon HaugenD
- 4Julius Mar JuliussonD
- 5Dan Peter UlvestadD
- 6Jesper IsaksenD
- 23Tobias Hammer SvendsenM
- 20Wilfred George IgorM
- 7Sander SvendsenM
- 10Heine Gikling BrusethF
- 19Leander AlvheimF
- 9Sander Hestetun KilenF
- 3Frederik FlexD
- 14Syver Skundberg SkeideM
- 27Adrian Kurd RønningF
- 17Max Normann WilliamsenD
- 2Anders BørsetD
- 12Adrian SætherG
- 38Aksel Nordvik BrattoyM
- 12Peder Hoel LervikG
- 25Martin LinnesD
- 4Sivert Sira HansenD
- 33Birk RisaD
- 26Samukelo KabiniD
- 10Emil BreivikM
- 30Daniel DagaM
- 5Eirik HestadM
- 23Sondre Milian GranaasM
- 21Oskar Spiten-NysæterM
- 9Jalal AbdullaiF
- 8Mathias LøvikD
- 24Trent Kone DohertyF
- 6Niklas OdegardM
- 28Viktor BenderM
- 19Eirik HauganD
- 22Albert PosiadałaG
- 20Mads EnggårdM
- 14Jacob ChristensenM
- 17Mats Møller DæhliM
Form going into Kristiansund BK vs Molde
Kristiansund BK
- L1-2away to KFUM Oslo2 August 2026
- L1-2Start25 July 2026
- D0-0Sarpsborg 08 FF18 July 2026
Molde
- D3-3Sarpsborg 08 FF2 August 2026
- W4-2away to KFUM Oslo26 July 2026
- L1-2Brann18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kristiansund BK | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 19 |
| 3 | Molde | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 30 | +13 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kristiansund BK vs Molde
- 9 August 2026Kristiansund BK 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 16 May 2026Molde 1–0 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
- 6 February 2026Molde 0–0 Kristiansund BKFriendlies Clubs
- 4 October 2025Kristiansund BK 2–1 MoldeEliteserien
- 21 May 2025Molde 3–4 Kristiansund BKNM Cupen
- 16 May 2025Molde 0–1 Kristiansund BKEliteserien
Leading scorers: Kristiansund BK and Molde
Kristiansund BK
- L. Alvheim10 goals
Molde
- E. Hestad8 goals2 assists
- E. Breivik7 goals7 assists
- Trent Toure Kone Doherty6 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.