28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC

Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern DFB Pokal prediction & result

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover
Referee: Konrad Oldhafer
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Hannover 96 0-2 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Hannover 96, 32% draw, 35% 1. FC Kaiserslautern — fair odds of 3.03, 3.13 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

1. FC Kaiserslautern at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hannover 960%Draw1%1. FC Kaiserslautern99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

14'
⚽Miloš Lukovićassist: Thierry Fidjeu Tazemeta
15'
Marlon Ritter
•Husseyn Chakroun
22'
28'
🔁Marlon Ritterout: Semih Sahin
Franz Roggow
36'
Husseyn Chakroun
45+4'
Jean Hugonet
53'
63'
🔁Ibrahim Kanateout: Naatan Skyttä
64'
🔁Miloš Lukovićout: Mario Sauer
🔁Husseyn Chakrounout: Kolja Oudenne
65'
🔁Franz Roggowout: Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
65'
🔁Benjamin Källmanout: Merlin Sinanović
66'
74'
Fabian Kunze
80'
🔁Thierry Fidjeu Tazemetaout: Ivan Prtajin
80'
🔁Simon Astaout: Paul Joly
🔁Hayate Matsudaout: Tom Hobrecht
81'
🔁Emir Sahitiout: Mwisho Mhango
81'
82'
Paul Joly
Sandro Wagner
85'
86'
⚽Ivan Prtajinassist: Fabian Kunze
87'
Ivan Prtajin

Match stats — Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

52%Possession48%
24Shots5
8On target3
15Corners3
1.54xG0.54

Goals against chances

Hannover 960 from 1.54 xGless than the chances were worth
1. FC Kaiserslautern2 from 0.54 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hannover 96 3-4-3
  • 1P. LoretzG
  • 5V. GhițăD
  • 3B. TomiakD
  • 4J. HugonetD
  • 44E. SahitiM
  • 13F. RoggowM
  • 14H. ChakrounM
  • 33M. NeubauerM
  • 27H. MatsudaF
  • 9B. KällmanF
  • 10M. HartelF
Substitutes
  • 22Noah EngelbrethM
  • 26T. HobrechtF
  • 21Mwisho MhangoM
  • 20I. OkonD
  • 29K. OudenneM
  • 8W. TaïbiM
  • 23S. ÞórðarsonM
  • 30L. WeinkaufG
  • 49Merlin SinanovićF
Coach: S. Wagner
1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-4-3
  • 1J. KrahlG
  • 2S. AstaD
  • 4M. GyamfiD
  • 3A. MurphyD
  • 37Leon RobinsonM
  • 6F. KunzeM
  • 7M. RitterM
  • 22Mika HaasM
  • 39T. Fidjeu-TazemetaF
  • 45M. LukovićF
  • 11I. KanateF
Substitutes
  • 21M. SauerM
  • 15N. SkyttäM
  • 9I. PrtajinF
  • 8S. ŞahinM
  • 26P. JolyD
  • 44D. HofmeisterM
  • 33J. ElvediD
  • 20M. BerishaF
  • 34Y. OnohiolG
Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Form going into Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Hannover 96

2. Bundesliga

  • L0-2away to Eintracht Braunschweig25 October 2026
  • D1-1FC St. Pauli17 October 2026
  • L0-3away to 1. FC Magdeburg10 October 2026

1. FC Kaiserslautern

2. Bundesliga

  • W1-0away to 1. FC Nürnberg24 October 2026
  • W2-0VfL Bochum17 October 2026
  • D0-0away to 1. FC Heidenheim9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

2. Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Hannover 96113351218-612
31. FC Kaiserslautern11632107+321

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  • 18 January 20261. FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 3 August 2025Hannover 96 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
  • 15 February 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • 14 September 2024Hannover 96 3–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
  • 16 March 2024Hannover 96 1–1 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
  • 6 October 2023FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga

The result against the call

1. FC Kaiserslautern won 2–0 at Hannover 96. The model had made a win for 1. FC Kaiserslautern its most likely outcome, at 35%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Miloš Luković 14' for 1. FC Kaiserslautern, Ivan Prtajin 86' for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. On expected goals it finished 1.54–0.54.

How the call on Hannover 96 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern has moved

First published on 13 Oct at 38% / 32% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 33% / 32% / 35%: the biggest move is Hannover 96's chance of winning, down 5 points.

  1. Hannover 96 win33%▼ −5
  2. Draw32%=
  3. 1. FC Kaiserslautern win35%▲ +5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.