Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 28% draw, 30% Dinamo Zagreb — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Hapoel Beer Sheva at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb
Line-ups
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 4Miguel VitorD
- 3M. BaltaxaD
- 5P. AmadorD
- 17A. ForsonM
- 28N. YehoshuaM
- 9Z. AhmedM
- 20J. EastF
- 66I. ZlatanovicF
- 14Y. MaledeF
- 34M. WolffG
- 36Y. Shani
- 13O. DavidzadaD
- 15I. NachmiasD
- 8H. KanaanF
- 11A. C. GanahF
- 90A. UgarrizaF
- 70Joao VictorF
- 45M. Abu RumiF
- 24D. KotarskiG
- 15N. GalesicD
- 36S. DominguezD
- 26S. McKennaD
- 3B. GodaD
- 27J. MisicM
- 21M. LisicaM
- 10L. StojkovicM
- 80L. KacavendaM
- 99M. OrsicM
- 11A. HoxhaF
- 1D. ZagoracG
- 44I. FilipovicG
- 25M. ValincicD
- 22M. Perez VinlofD
- 8M. ZajcM
- 5K. KravtsovM
- 17L. IvanusecM
- 23I. AlmenaF
- 14S. PrevljakF
Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb
Hapoel Beer Sheva
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Hapoel Petah Tikva13 September 2026
- L1-4Maccabi Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- D2-2Hapoel Haifa2 September 2026
- W2-1away to Hapoel Ramat Gan29 August 2026
- L2-5away to Sabah FA25 August 2026
Dinamo Zagreb
All competitions we cover
- L2-4away to NK Osijek12 September 2026
- W1-0HNK Gorica5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Istra 196129 August 2026
- L1-3away to Viking26 August 2026
- W3-1NK Varazdin22 August 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Beer Sheva scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hapoel Beer Sheva had three goals or more.
- Dinamo Zagreb scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Zagreb conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Dinamo Zagreb had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
| 9 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Dinamo Zagreb
- 31 July 2018Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–2 Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Champions League
- 24 July 2018Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League
Leading scorers: Hapoel Beer Sheva and Dinamo Zagreb
Hapoel Beer Sheva
No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Dinamo Zagreb
GoalsAssists
- D. Beljo40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Beer Sheva and Dinamo Zagreb drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
How the call on Hapoel Beer Sheva v Dinamo Zagreb has moved
First published on 2 Sep at 48% / 28% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Hapoel Beer Sheva's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Hapoel Beer Sheva win42%▼ −6
- Draw28%=
- Dinamo Zagreb win30%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.