31 October 2026, 15:30 UTC

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Hapoel Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Hapoel Haifa, 29% draw, 30% Hapoel Petah Tikva — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hapoel Haifa at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Haifa99%Draw1%Hapoel Petah Tikva0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

naor sabag
3'
19'
Euclides·Tavares Andrade
32'
🔁Or Israelovout: Diego Arroyo
⚽Alon Turgemanassist: yaad gonen
37'
45'
🔁Euclides·Tavares Andradeout: Guy Badash
⚽naor sabagassist: Arial Mendy
52'
57'
🔁Hamidou Keytaout: Roei Levy
57'
🔁Kimvuidi Keikie Karimout: Noam Cohen
58'
Guy Badash
🔁Shai Eliasout: Israel Sali Pahima
61'
C Keita
64'
Israel Sali Pahima
69'
🔁Israel Sali Pahimaout: Wahib·Habiballa
73'
🔁yaad gonenout: C Diakité
78'
🔁Alon Turgemanout: William Agade
79'
86'
Diego Arroyo
87'
🔁Tomer Altmanout: Omri Cohen
90+5'
⚽Yves Erick Bileassist: Omri Cohen

Match stats — Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

46%Possession54%
20Shots10
7On target6
7Corners4
2.05xG0.96

Goals against chances

Hapoel Haifa2 from 2.05 xGabout what the chances were worth
Hapoel Petah Tikva1 from 0.96 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hapoel Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. GerafiG
  • 2N. CohenD
  • 13D. ŽuparićD
  • 5I. KričakD
  • 77A. MendyD
  • 55N. SabagM
  • 8Cheick KeitaM
  • 15Y. GonenM
  • 10S. EliasM
  • 7L. RotmanM
  • 17A. TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 9W. AgadaF
  • 23M. AmbarG
  • 3T. ArbelD
  • 25G. DibaD
  • 14W. HabiballaF
  • 4D. MalulD
  • 18Itay ZafraniF
  • 11I. S. FahimaM
  • 21C DiakitéF
Coach: H. Silbas
Hapoel Petah Tikva 4-2-3-1
  • 1O. KatzG
  • 3H. ShalomD
  • 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
  • 20O. IsraelovD
  • 72Y. NassarD
  • 8T. AltmanM
  • 29B. GontranM
  • 77CléM
  • 26K. KimvuidiM
  • 11H. KeytaM
  • 9E. BilleF
Substitutes
  • 28Noam CohenM
  • 7R. LevyM
  • 18A. MashiahG
  • 4D. ArroyoD
  • 24G. BadashF
  • 15Nachman Yacov Vita AsalD
  • 34Omri CohenF
  • 6Etai EhudM
  • 27Zohar GrinbergD
Coach: O. Peretz

Form going into Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

Hapoel Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • L2-6away to Maccabi Tel Aviv24 October 2026
  • L0-2Hapoel Ramat Gan17 October 2026
  • W2-1Maccabi Petah Tikva10 October 2026

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Ligat Ha'al

  • L0-1Beitar Jerusalem25 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Bnei Sakhnin17 October 2026
  • L0-3Maccabi Netanya10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Hapoel Haifa103341318-512
12Hapoel Petah Tikva10208517-126

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

  • 14 February 2026Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–1 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 9 November 2025Hapoel Haifa 2–2 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
  • 27 December 2024Hapoel Haifa 1–1 Hapoel Petah TikvaState Cup
  • 3 February 2024Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–2 Hapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 5 December 2023Hapoel Haifa 1–1 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva

Hapoel Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Turgeman51

Hapoel Petah Tikva

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Haifa beat Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–1. The model had made a win for Hapoel Haifa its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Alon Turgeman 37' for Hapoel Haifa, naor sabag 52' for Hapoel Haifa, Yves Erick Bile 90+5' for Hapoel Petah Tikva. On expected goals it finished 2.05–0.96.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hapoel Haifa a 13.4% chance to finish in the bottom three: 8.0% after a win, 13.3% after a draw, 19.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 8.0%, 5.4 points lower than before the match.

For Hapoel Petah Tikva the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 47.0% going in: 37.0% after a win, 48.2% after a draw, 53.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 53.2%, 6.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Petah Tikva has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 42% / 30% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 41% / 29% / 30%: the biggest move is Hapoel Petah Tikva's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Hapoel Haifa win41%▼ −1
  2. Draw29%▼ −1
  3. Hapoel Petah Tikva win30%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.