31 October 2026, 13:00 UTC

Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% Beitar Jerusalem, 22% draw, 16% Ironi Kiryat Shmona — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Beitar Jerusalem at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Beitar Jerusalem97%Draw3%Ironi Kiryat Shmona0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Luka Gadrani
28'
⚽Adi Menachem Yonaassist: Omer Atzili
42'
45'
🔁Bilal Shaheenout: Mor Simantov
timothy muzie
50'
54'
🔁Nadav Markovitchout: Ariel Sheratzky
58'
Alexandre Mussolo Sola
59'
🔁Alexandre Mussolo Solaout: Ofir Benbenishti
🔁Adi Menachem Yonaout: Ziv Ben Shimol
61'
🔁Johnbosco Samuel Kaluout: Azo natan ori
68'
69'
Talles Costa
71'
🔁Niv Michael Gabayout: Rufat Abdullazada
🔁Yarden Shuaout: Shon Weissman
81'
🔁Boris Enow Takangout: Tomer Yosefi
81'
Azo natan ori
83'
87'
ovadia darwish
Shon Weissman
87'
90+3'
Nemanja Ljubisavljević
timothy muzie
90+5'
90+7'
⚽Amadou Sagna (pen)

Match stats — Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

68%Possession32%
17Shots7
7On target2
9Corners1
1.63xG1.27

Goals against chances

Beitar Jerusalem1 from 1.63 xGless than the chances were worth
Ironi Kiryat Shmona1 from 1.27 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Beitar Jerusalem 4-3-3
  • 55Miguel SilvaG
  • 2N. AntwiD
  • 4B. CarabalíD
  • 44L. GadraniD
  • 11T. MuziD
  • 40B. EnowM
  • 80Alexis SernaM
  • 10A. YonaM
  • 77O. AtziliF
  • 7Y. ShuaF
  • 9J. KaluF
Substitutes
  • 5G. CohenD
  • 8Z. ShimolM
  • 23O. N. AzoF
  • 14R. ElimelechD
  • 15N. MucheM
  • 22Y. OzerG
  • 19S. WeissmanF
  • 26D. WorkoM
  • 30T. YosefiM
Coach: Almog Cohen
Ironi Kiryat Shmona 4-2-3-1
  • 19DanielG
  • 20O. DarwishD
  • 26N. LjubisavljevićD
  • 32S. Ben-DavidD
  • 91B. ShaheenD
  • 63Alexandre SolaM
  • 8Talles CostaM
  • 7A. SagnaM
  • 24N. MarkovitchM
  • 11S. SabahM
  • 39N. GabayF
Substitutes
  • 1Nikola DjurkovicG
  • 21R. AbdullazadəM
  • 12J. Al HalabiF
  • 6O. BenbenishtiD
  • 44S. EdriD
  • 9A. PopM
  • 10A. ShirdatzkiM
  • 16M. SimantovD
  • 28I. VaierD
Coach: S. Barda

Form going into Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Beitar Jerusalem

Ligat Ha'al

  • W1-0away to Hapoel Petah Tikva25 October 2026
  • D0-0Maccabi Tel Aviv19 October 2026
  • W4-0away to Hapoel Ramat Gan11 October 2026

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Ligat Ha'al

  • L0-1Bnei Sakhnin24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Maccabi Netanya17 October 2026
  • L1-3Hapoel Tel Aviv10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Beitar Jerusalem105321411+318
11Ironi Kiryat Shmona10217917-87

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona

  • 14 January 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–2 Beitar JerusalemState Cup
  • 4 January 2026Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–2 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
  • 20 September 2025Beitar Jerusalem 2–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 18 January 2025Ironi Kiryat Shmona 0–3 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al
  • 5 October 2024Beitar Jerusalem 1–1 Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al
  • 13 May 2023Ironi Kiryat Shmona 3–2 Beitar JerusalemLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Beitar Jerusalem

GoalsAssists

  • O. Atzili33
  • E. Ansah31

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Beitar Jerusalem at 62% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Adi Menachem Yona 42' for Beitar Jerusalem, Amadou Sagna (penalty) 90+7' for Ironi Kiryat Shmona. Sent off: timothy muzie (Beitar Jerusalem) 90+5'. On expected goals it finished 1.63–1.27.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Ironi Kiryat Shmona a 60.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 47.7% after a win, 57.6% after a draw, 63.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 57.6%, 2.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Beitar Jerusalem v Ironi Kiryat Shmona has moved

First published on 17 Oct at 61% / 21% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 62% / 22% / 16%: the biggest move is Ironi Kiryat Shmona's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Beitar Jerusalem win62%▲ +1
  2. Draw22%▲ +1
  3. Ironi Kiryat Shmona win16%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.