31 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC St. Gallen vs Servette FC Super League prediction & result

Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Referee: Mirel Turkes
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC St. Gallen 2-1 Servette FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% FC St. Gallen, 27% draw, 34% Servette FC — fair odds of 2.56, 3.70 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC St. Gallen at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC St. Gallen96%Draw4%Servette FC0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Carlo Boukhalfaassist: Chima Okoroji
6'
10'
🔁Kingstone Mutandwaout: Tiemoko Ouattara
18'
Houboulang Mendes
18'
Marco Burch
🔁Aliou Baldeout: Andrin Hunziker
45'
🔁Mostafa Heydariout: Joel Ruiz
59'
🔁Lukas Daschnerout: Betim Fazliji
59'
⚽Lukas Görtler (pen)
65'
69'
🔁Thomas Lopesout: Lilian Njoh
69'
🔁Tiemoko Ouattaraout: Samuel Mráz
Betim Fazliji
69'
🔁Carlo Boukhalfaout: Nevio Scherrer
75'
77'
🔁Jarell Simoout: David Douline
78'
🔁Houboulang Mendesout: Quentin Maceiras
82'
⚽Jesper Karlssonassist: Marco Burch
🔁Lukas Görtlerout: Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel
89'
90+4'
Bradley Mazikou

Match stats — FC St. Gallen vs Servette FC

38%Possession62%
16Shots13
6On target6
2Corners4
1.86xG1.17

Goals against chances

FC St. Gallen2 from 1.86 xGabout what the chances were worth
Servette FC1 from 1.17 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC St. Gallen 3-1-4-2
  • 1L. ZigiG
  • 26T. GaalD
  • 4J. StanićD
  • 68M. HeydariD
  • 64M. StevanovicM
  • 28H. VandermerschM
  • 16L. GörtlerM
  • 10L. DaschnerM
  • 36C. OkorojiM
  • 11C. BoukhalfaF
  • 14A. BaldeF
Substitutes
  • 27K. CsobothM
  • 23B. FazlijiM
  • 20L. FrokajM
  • 9A. HunzikerF
  • 3C. Kleine-BekelD
  • 74J. RuizD
  • 70N. ScherrerF
  • 25L. WatkowiakG
Coach: E. Maaßen
Servette FC 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. GertmonasG
  • 17Houboulang MendesD
  • 4S. RouillerD
  • 15M. BurchD
  • 18B. MazikouD
  • 6Pedro NaressiM
  • 20Jarell Njike SimoM
  • 22M. LambourdeM
  • 36Thomas LopesM
  • 21J. KarlssonM
  • 7K. MutandwaF
Substitutes
  • 35A. VincentM
  • 77T. OuattaraF
  • 14L. NjohD
  • 90S. MrázF
  • 23Q. MaceirasD
  • 39Eronis HaxhiuM
  • 28D. DoulineM
  • 78L. BessonG
  • 34T. AllixD
Coach: J. Gourvennec

Form going into FC St. Gallen vs Servette FC

FC St. Gallen

Super League

  • L0-2away to BSC Young Boys24 October 2026
  • W1-0Lausanne11 October 2026
  • W3-1away to FC Basel 189320 September 2026

Servette FC

Super League

  • W2-1FC Vaduz24 October 2026
  • W3-0FC Sion10 October 2026
  • L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Switzerland Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC St. Gallen137152422+222
6Servette FC135261716+117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs Servette FC

  • 6 September 2026Servette FC 0–2 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 21 February 2026Servette FC 1–1 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 25 January 2026FC St. Gallen 2–4 Servette FCSuper League
  • 2 August 2025Servette FC 1–4 FC St. GallenSuper League
  • 6 April 2025FC St. Gallen 1–0 Servette FCSuper League
  • 18 January 2025Servette FC 1–1 FC St. GallenSuper League

Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and Servette FC

FC St. Gallen

GoalsAssists

  • L. Görtler42
  • A. Hunziker40

Servette FC

GoalsAssists

  • K. Mutandwa50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC St. Gallen beat Servette FC 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC St. Gallen at 39%. The goals: Carlo Boukhalfa 6' for FC St. Gallen, Lukas Görtler (penalty) 65' for FC St. Gallen, Jesper Karlsson 82' for Servette FC. On expected goals it finished 1.86–1.17.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC St. Gallen these chances to finish in the top six: 79.6% after a win, 66.7% after a draw, 59.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure about where it was, at 79.6%.

For Servette FC the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 79.7% going in: 89.7% after a win, 80.3% after a draw, 71.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 71.9%, 7.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.