17 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Hapoel Haifa 0-2 Hapoel Ramat Gan.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Hapoel Haifa, 27% draw, 22% Hapoel Ramat Gan — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hapoel Haifa at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Haifa0%Draw1%Hapoel Ramat Gan99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

34'
Daniel Tishler
51'
Marcio Silva
Dario Župarić
53'
C Keita
57'
59'
⚽David Asankaassist: Getachew Yabelo
🔁Shai Eliasout: C Diakité
60'
Arial Mendy
64'
🔁Dor Malulout: Noam Cohen
67'
🔁yaad gonenout: Israel Sali Pahima
67'
🔁Liran Rotmanout: Itai Zafrani
67'
69'
⚽Luan De Campos Cristino Da Silvaassist: Goni Naor
🔁Alon Turgemanout: Wahib·Habiballa
72'
76'
🔁Goni Naorout: Tamir Glazer
76'
🔁Daniel Tishlerout: omer yizhak
76'
🔁Marius Noubissiout: Christopher Boniface
81'
🔁Luan De Campos Cristino Da Silvaout: idan baranes
84'
David Asanka
85'
🔁Moshe Semelout: Maxim Plakushchenko

Match stats — Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan

68%Possession32%
14Shots11
4On target3
4Corners0
0.88xG1.71

Goals against chances

Hapoel Haifa0 from 0.88 xGless than the chances were worth
Hapoel Ramat Gan2 from 1.71 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Hapoel Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 1Y. GerafiG
  • 4D. MalulD
  • 13D. ŽuparićD
  • 5I. KričakD
  • 77A. MendyD
  • 55N. SabagM
  • 8Cheick KeitaM
  • 15Y. GonenM
  • 10S. EliasM
  • 7L. RotmanM
  • 17A. TurgemanF
Substitutes
  • 18Itay ZafraniF
  • 23M. AmbarG
  • 3T. ArbelD
  • 2N. CohenD
  • 21C DiakitéF
  • 25G. DibaD
  • 14W. HabiballaF
  • 11I. S. FahimaM
  • 12A. AyiasF
Coach: H. Silbas
Hapoel Ramat Gan 5-3-2
  • 55Amit RaifG
  • 2Getachew YabeloD
  • 4Márcio SilvaD
  • 5Jota GonçalvesD
  • 3D. TischlerD
  • 11D. AsankaD
  • 6G. NaorM
  • 66S. MijailovićM
  • 10M. SemelM
  • 99Luan CamposF
  • 9M. NoubissiF
Substitutes
  • 22A. YankoG
  • 8I. BarnesF
  • 20C. BonifaceM
  • 24T. GlazerM
  • 33F. IbrahimD
  • 17O. YitzhakD
  • 21I. OliM
  • 7M. PlakushchenkoM
  • 16A. ZurD
Coach: M. Dego

Form going into Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Ramat Gan

Hapoel Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • W2-1Maccabi Petah Tikva10 October 2026

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Ligat Ha'al

  • L0-4Beitar Jerusalem11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Hapoel Haifa103341318-512
13Hapoel Ramat Gan10208822-146

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Ramat Gan

Hapoel Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • A. Turgeman51

Hapoel Ramat Gan

GoalsAssists

  • Luan Campos31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hapoel Ramat Gan won 2–0 at Hapoel Haifa. The model had leaned towards a win for Hapoel Haifa at 51% and given a win for Hapoel Ramat Gan 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: David Asanka 59' for Hapoel Ramat Gan, Luan De Campos Cristino Da Silva 69' for Hapoel Ramat Gan. Sent off: C Keita (Hapoel Haifa) 57'. On expected goals it finished 0.88–1.71.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hapoel Haifa a 6.5% chance to finish in the top four: 7.7% after a win, 5.8% after a draw, 3.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 3.8%, 2.7 points lower than before the match.

For Hapoel Ramat Gan the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 60.6% going in: 51.0% after a win, 59.2% after a draw, 65.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 51.0%, 9.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hapoel Haifa v Hapoel Ramat Gan has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 42% / 30% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Hapoel Haifa's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Hapoel Haifa win51%▲ +9
  2. Draw27%▼ −3
  3. Hapoel Ramat Gan win22%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.