17 October 2026, 16:15 UTC

Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

Doha Stadium, Sakhnin
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Bnei Sakhnin 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva.

Before kick-off the model made it 29% Bnei Sakhnin, 34% draw, 37% Hapoel Petah Tikva — fair odds of 3.45, 2.94 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hapoel Petah Tikva at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bnei Sakhnin99%Draw1%Hapoel Petah Tikva0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ilay Hajaj
4'
27'
Stav Israeli
⚽Ahmed Ibrahim Salmanassist: Daniel Paraschiv
30'
44'
🔁Roee Davidout: Hamidou Keyta
ori dahan
51'
56'
Alex Moucketou-Moussounda
61'
Yves Erick Bile
65'
🔁Stav Israeliout: Tomer Altman
65'
🔁Roei Levyout: Euclides·Tavares Andrade
65'
🔁Boni Amianout: Noam Cohen
🔁Ahmed Ibrahim Salmanout: Loai Halaf
69'
71'
Yazen Nassar
🔁Ilay Hajajout: Jubayer Bushnak
73'
⚽Mathew Anim Cudjoeassist: Leeroy Owusu
74'
78'
Kimvuidi Keikie Karim
81'
🔁Kimvuidi Keikie Karimout: Edmond Asante
84'
Or Israelov
🔁Daniel Paraschivout: basil khuri
85'

Match stats — Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

38%Possession62%
11Shots10
3On target5
3Corners11
0.56xG0.75

Goals against chances

Bnei Sakhnin2 from 0.56 xGmore than the chances were worth
Hapoel Petah Tikva0 from 0.75 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Bnei Sakhnin 4-4-2
  • 1R. BălbărăuG
  • 13L. OwusuD
  • 5I. Abu AbaidD
  • 4O. DahanD
  • 92Saná GomesD
  • 10M. Anim CudjoeM
  • 6A. TahaM
  • 8M. VorobjovasM
  • 28I. HagagM
  • 9D. ParaschivF
  • 29A. SalmanF
Substitutes
  • 22M. Abu NilG
  • 21M. Abu RiyaM
  • 77A. SeferF
  • 11J. BushnaqF
  • 20M. GanameD
  • 2M. GantusD
  • 44A. GnamehD
  • 16L. HalafF
  • 24B. KhuriF
Coach: Y. Abukasis
Hapoel Petah Tikva 4-2-3-1
  • 1O. KatzG
  • 12S. IsraeliD
  • 5A. Moucketou-MoussoundaD
  • 20O. IsraelovD
  • 72Y. NassarD
  • 6Etai EhudM
  • 29B. GontranM
  • 7R. LevyM
  • 16R. DavidM
  • 26K. KimvuidiM
  • 9E. BilleF
Substitutes
  • 77CléF
  • 8T. AltmanM
  • 14E. AsanteM
  • 15Nachman Yacov Vita AsalD
  • 28Noam CohenM
  • 33Zohar GrinbergD
  • 11H. KeytaF
  • 18A. MashiahG
  • 3H. ShalomD
Coach: O. Peretz

Form going into Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

Bnei Sakhnin

Ligat Ha'al

  • D0-0away to Maccabi Tel Aviv10 October 2026

Hapoel Petah Tikva

Ligat Ha'al

  • L0-3Maccabi Netanya10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Bnei Sakhnin1034388013
12Hapoel Petah Tikva10208517-126

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

  • 15 August 2026Bnei Sakhnin 1–0 Hapoel Petah TikvaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 7 February 2026Bnei Sakhnin 1–2 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
  • 1 November 2025Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–2 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
  • 6 January 2024Bnei Sakhnin 0–0 Hapoel Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
  • 2 September 2023Hapoel Petah Tikva 1–1 Bnei SakhninLigat Ha'al
  • 21 February 2020Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–0 Bnei SakhninLiga Leumit

The result against the call

Bnei Sakhnin beat Hapoel Petah Tikva 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Hapoel Petah Tikva at 37% and given a win for Bnei Sakhnin 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Ahmed Ibrahim Salman 30' for Bnei Sakhnin, Mathew Anim Cudjoe 74' for Bnei Sakhnin. On expected goals it finished 0.56–0.75.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Bnei Sakhnin a 51.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 38.3% after a win, 51.8% after a draw, 61.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.3%, 12.9 points lower than before the match.

For Hapoel Petah Tikva the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 28.8% going in: 20.6% after a win, 29.7% after a draw, 36.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 36.5%, 7.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.