17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa Ligat Ha'al prediction & result

HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 Maccabi Haifa.

Before kick-off the model made it 19% Maccabi Petah Tikva, 20% draw, 61% Maccabi Haifa — fair odds of 5.26, 5.00 and 1.64.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Maccabi Haifa at 61%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Maccabi Petah Tikva0%Draw4%Maccabi Haifa96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. Inbrum
13'
Ido Cohen
45+1'
62'
⚽Ethane Azoulayassist: Kenny Saief
62'
🔁Jelle Batailleout: Eli Dasa
63'
🔁Ali Mohamedout: Adam Grimberg
63'
🔁Kenny Saiefout: Yarin Levi
66'
⚽Noam Sztejfmanassist: Bruninho
🔁Eloge Yaoout: Or dadia
67'
71'
Ethane Azoulay
71'
🔁Kenji Gorreout: Iyad khalaili
76'
Pedro Brazão
77'
🔁Bruninhoout: Tsunami
🔁Eitan Tibiout: Lior Kasa
79'
🔁Aviv Salemout: Itay Baruch
79'
🔁José Cortésout: K. Spence
80'
🔁E. Inbrumout: Marko Rakonjac
87'

Match stats — Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa

37%Possession63%
12Shots15
1On target3
2Corners7
0.66xG1.18

Goals against chances

Maccabi Petah Tikva1 from 0.66 xGabout what the chances were worth
Maccabi Haifa2 from 1.18 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Maccabi Petah Tikva 5-4-1
  • 39M. ErlichG
  • 26G. DeznetD
  • 6E. YaoD
  • 18E. TibiD
  • 22Bashar AbdachD
  • 17A. SalemD
  • 9S. OwusuM
  • 20I. CohenM
  • 99Eyal InbrumM
  • 77J. CortésM
  • 53L. HazanF
Substitutes
  • 12I. BaruchD
  • 24L. KasaM
  • 27Y. KorenF
  • 44P. KorreaD
  • 80Y. OzM
  • 97M. RakonjacF
  • 7K. SpenceF
  • 1D. HevronG
  • 30O. DadyaD
Coach: Z. Arie
Maccabi Haifa 4-2-3-1
  • 55O. GlazerG
  • 25J. BatailleD
  • 35N. SztejfmanD
  • 21N. LonwijkD
  • 16K. SaiefD
  • 4A. MuhammadM
  • 19E. AzoulayM
  • 30Pedro BrazãoM
  • 10BruninhoM
  • 11K. GorréM
  • 9A. NovakovićF
Substitutes
  • 38Adam GrimbergF
  • 29Iyad KhalailiM
  • 8Y. LeviM
  • 7Y. MordechaiM
  • 1yaacov omer on nirG
  • 36N. RatnerD
  • 66TsunamiD
  • 2E. DasaD
  • 44PedrãoD
Coach: B. Bakhar

Form going into Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa

Maccabi Petah Tikva

Ligat Ha'al

  • L1-2away to Hapoel Haifa10 October 2026

Maccabi Haifa

Ligat Ha'al

  • W4-1away to Hapoel Jerusalem12 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligat Ha'al table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Maccabi Petah Tikva103161623-710
5Maccabi Haifa106042120+118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa

  • 22 February 2025Maccabi Haifa 1–0 Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
  • 30 November 2024Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–2 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 14 January 2024Maccabi Haifa 5–0 Maccabi Petah TikvaLigat Ha'al
  • 17 September 2023Maccabi Petah Tikva 3–2 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al
  • 19 August 2023Maccabi Petah Tikva 0–2 Maccabi HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al
  • 8 January 2022Maccabi Petah Tikva 0–4 Maccabi HaifaLigat Ha'al

Leading scorers: Maccabi Petah Tikva and Maccabi Haifa

Maccabi Petah Tikva

GoalsAssists

  • J. Cortés41
  • L. Hazan31

Maccabi Haifa

GoalsAssists

  • Bruninho45
  • A. Novaković41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Haifa won 2–1 at Maccabi Petah Tikva. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Maccabi Haifa at 61%. The goals: E. Inbrum 13' for Maccabi Petah Tikva, Ethane Azoulay 62' for Maccabi Haifa, Noam Sztejfman 66' for Maccabi Haifa. On expected goals it finished 0.66–1.18.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Maccabi Petah Tikva a 41.9% chance to finish in the bottom three: 29.4% after a win, 37.0% after a draw, 45.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 45.5%, 3.6 points higher than before the match.

For Maccabi Haifa the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 82.8% going in: 85.4% after a win, 79.5% after a draw, 75.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 85.4%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Maccabi Petah Tikva v Maccabi Haifa has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 24% / 24% / 52% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 19% / 20% / 61%: the biggest move is Maccabi Haifa's chance of winning, up 9 points.

  1. Maccabi Petah Tikva win19%▼ −5
  2. Draw20%▼ −4
  3. Maccabi Haifa win61%▲ +9

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.