Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Ligat Ha'al prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Ramat Gan 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Before kick-off the model made it 13% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 18% draw, 69% Maccabi Tel Aviv — fair odds of 7.69, 5.56 and 1.45.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Maccabi Tel Aviv at 69%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 55Amit RaifG
- 15N. SchwartzD
- 5Jota GonçalvesD
- 4Márcio SilvaD
- 3D. TischlerD
- 16A. ZurD
- 66S. MijailovićM
- 6G. NaorM
- 21I. OliM
- 99Luan CamposF
- 7M. PlakushchenkoF
- 20C. BonifaceM
- 8I. BarnesF
- 22A. YankoG
- 17O. YitzhakD
- 9M. NoubissiF
- 10M. SemelF
- 24T. GlazerM
- 36David TwitoD
- 2Getachew YabeloD
- 1O. MelikaG
- 2J. TavernierD
- 5M. CamaraD
- 13R. ShlomoD
- 11S. YehezkelD
- 30I. NoyM
- 77O. DavidaM
- 42Dor PeretzM
- 16G. KanichowskyM
- 29Hélio VarelaM
- 19E. MadmonF
- 9E. SoklerF
- 41I. Ben HamoD
- 18D. GlazerM
- 33H. LayousF
- 45Noam LevyF
- 90R. MishpatiG
- 25S. RosenD
- 36I. ShaharM
- 28I. SissokhoM
Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Ligat Ha'al
- L1-2Maccabi Petah Tikva24 October 2026
- W2-0away to Hapoel Haifa17 October 2026
- L0-4Beitar Jerusalem11 October 2026
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Ligat Ha'al
- W6-2Hapoel Haifa24 October 2026
- D0-0away to Beitar Jerusalem19 October 2026
- D0-0Bnei Sakhnin10 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 6 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Ramat Gan
GoalsAssists
- Luan Campos31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- Dor Peretz72
- E. Sokler51
- E. Madmon33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Maccabi Tel Aviv won 5–0 at Hapoel Ramat Gan. The model had made a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv its most likely outcome, at 69%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Elad Madmon 3' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, Marcio Silva (own goal) 22' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, Dor Peretz 38' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, Ester Sokler 66' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, Ester Sokler 76' for Maccabi Tel Aviv. On expected goals it finished 0.94–3.92.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hapoel Ramat Gan a 40.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 26.3% after a win, 38.6% after a draw, 42.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 42.9%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.
For Maccabi Tel Aviv the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 56.7% going in: 60.1% after a win, 49.7% after a draw, 43.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 60.1%, 3.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Ligat Ha'al season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.