16 October 2026, 11:35 UTC

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda Super League prediction & result

Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Referee: Haixin Li, China
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Henan Jianye 0-1 Tianjin Teda.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Henan Jianye, 29% draw, 33% Tianjin Teda — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Henan Jianye at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Henan Jianye0%Draw4%Tianjin Teda96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Haliq Ablahan
15'
27'
⚽Guilherme Schettineassist: Xadas
35'
Xadas
🔁Haliq Ablahanout: Yin Congyao
46'
🔁Lucas Maiaout: O. Gerbig
60'
60'
🔁Wang Zhenghaoout: Ba Dun
60'
🔁Xadasout: Wang Qiuming
🔁Pedro Maranhaoout: A. Abudulam
72'
🔁Zhong Yihaoout: Zheng Dalun
72'
72'
🔁Guilherme Schettineout: Ji Shengpan
Yin Congyao
83'
84'
Yan Bingliang
🔁Shinar Yeljanout: Yang Yilin
84'

Match stats — Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda

71%Possession29%
14Shots5
3On target2
5Corners4

Line-ups

Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1
  • 33Chenglong ShiG
  • 4Yeljan ShinarD
  • 2Iago MaidanaD
  • 23Lucas MaiaD
  • 11Nebijan MuhmetD
  • 15Abraham HalikM
  • 6Shangyuan WangM
  • 8MaranhãoM
  • 10Bruno NazárioM
  • 7Yihao ZhongM
  • 9GustavoF
Substitutes
  • 24Congyao YinF
  • 3Oliver GerbigD
  • 29Dalun ZhengF
  • 13Abdurasul AbudulamM
  • 25Yilin YangM
  • 17Jinshuai WangG
  • 18Gouming WangG
  • 27Yixin LiuD
  • 5Liu JiahuiD
Tianjin Teda 5-3-2
  • 25Yan BingliangG
  • 3Zhenghao WangD
  • 11Xie WeijunD
  • 18Aitor CórdobaD
  • 6Xianjun WangD
  • 31Ming-Him SunD
  • 10Cristian SalvadorM
  • 14Jiahui HuangM
  • 8Bruno XadasM
  • 9Alberto QuilesF
  • 7Guilherme SchettineF
Substitutes
  • 29Dun BaM
  • 30Qiuming WangM
  • 20Shengpan JiF
  • 21Qi YuxiG
  • 16Shuai LiuM
  • 38Shuaiqi LiD
  • 17Xinghan WuD
  • 24Chen ZhexuanD
  • 22Li YongjiaM

Form going into Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda

Henan Jianye

Super League

  • D2-2away to Sichuan Jiuniu9 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Wuhan Three Towns12 September 2026

Tianjin Teda

Super League

  • W1-0away to Chengdu Better City10 October 2026
  • W1-0Shenyang Urban12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

China Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Henan Jianye30810123846-828
12Tianjin Teda30118114038+231

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda

  • 19 May 2026Tianjin Teda 1–2 Henan JianyeSuper League
  • 28 September 2025Tianjin Teda 1–0 Henan JianyeSuper League
  • 5 May 2025Henan Jianye 3–4 Tianjin TedaSuper League
  • 14 September 2024Tianjin Teda 1–0 Henan JianyeSuper League
  • 4 May 2024Henan Jianye 1–2 Tianjin TedaSuper League

Leading scorers: Henan Jianye and Tianjin Teda

Henan Jianye

GoalsAssists

  • Gustavo156
  • Bruno Nazário106

Tianjin Teda

GoalsAssists

  • Alberto Quiles115

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Tianjin Teda won 1–0 at Henan Jianye. The model had leaned towards a win for Henan Jianye at 38% and given a win for Tianjin Teda 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Guilherme Schettine 27' for Tianjin Teda.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Henan Jianye a 16.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 2.4% after a win, 15.0% after a draw, 31.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.1%, 14.8 points higher than before the match.

For Tianjin Teda the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 9.9% going in: under 1% after a win, 7.1% after a draw, 20.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at under 1%, 9.5 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.