18 October 2026, 11:30 UTC

Hoffenheim II vs Verl 3. Liga prediction & result

Dietmar-Hopp Stadion, Sinsheim
Referee: Assad Nouhoum
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Hoffenheim II 2-1 Verl.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Hoffenheim II, 26% draw, 34% Verl — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Hoffenheim II at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hoffenheim II96%Draw4%Verl0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Yasin Zor (pen)
5'
⚽Yasin Zorassist: Natnael Abraha
15'
22'
⚽Almin mesanovicassist: Joshua Eze
Natnael Abraha
24'
Blessing Makanda Maleko
42'
Yasin Zor
51'
63'
🔁Joshua Ezeout: Alem Japaur
64'
🔁Janne Bernerout: M. Kaube
🔁Tiago Pollerout: K. Čížek
64'
🔁Jykese Fieldsout: jakov dedic
68'
75'
Tim Heike
79'
🔁Fabian Wessigout: Antonio Foti
80'
🔁Andre Leipoldout: Kasim Rabihic
🔁Blessing Makanda Malekoout: Konstantin aleksa
87'
🔁Yasin Zorout: Diren Dağdeviren
87'
87'
🔁Tim Heikeout: Amin Farouk

Match stats — Hoffenheim II vs Verl

39%Possession61%
12Shots13
5On target4
4Corners8

Line-ups

Hoffenheim II 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. PeterssonG
  • 2Natnael AbrahaD
  • 3Sean DulicD
  • 47Maximilian TheuerD
  • 13Tristan SprangerD
  • 16L. EngelnsM
  • 5K. GjasulaM
  • 17B. MakandaM
  • 20Juan Tiago Esteban PollerM
  • 10Y. B. Zor MuhammedM
  • 11J. FieldsF
Substitutes
  • 8Diren DağdevirenM
  • 36J. DedicF
  • 15Matthew mooreM
  • 22T. MüllerD
  • 44Maxime Ndong PendaD
  • 9B. O. LabesF
  • 32Tim PhilippG
  • 25Konstantin AleksaF
  • 26K. ČížekM
Coach: Stefan Kleineheismann
Verl 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. SchlieckG
  • 34Janne BernerD
  • 22N. KönigD
  • 5Nick SeidelD
  • 19N. KijewskiD
  • 8D. WaidnerM
  • 6J. EzeM
  • 30A. MešanovićM
  • 18F. WessigM
  • 20A. LeipoldM
  • 25T. HeikeF
Substitutes
  • 23K. RabihićF
  • 26A. FótiM
  • 7A. FaroukM
  • 21M. ClausenM
  • 9A. JapaurF
  • 11M. KaubeM
  • 14P. LehmannD
  • 17Y. OttoM
  • 32F. PekruhlG
Coach: Orest Shala

Form going into Hoffenheim II vs Verl

Hoffenheim II

3. Liga

  • L2-3away to Stuttgart II13 October 2026

Verl

3. Liga

  • D2-2SSV Jahn Regensburg14 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Hoffenheim II136162220+219
17Verl133371727-1012

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hoffenheim II vs Verl

  • 14 February 2026Verl 3–1 Hoffenheim II3. Liga
  • 13 September 2025Hoffenheim II 2–4 Verl3. Liga

Leading scorers: Hoffenheim II and Verl

Hoffenheim II

GoalsAssists

  • Y. B. Zor Muhammed83

Verl

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Hoffenheim II beat Verl 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Hoffenheim II at 40%. The goals: Yasin Zor (penalty) 5' for Hoffenheim II, Yasin Zor 15' for Hoffenheim II, Almin mesanovic 22' for Verl.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Hoffenheim II a 13.1% chance to finish in the top four: 15.6% after a win, 11.6% after a draw, 9.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.6%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.

For Verl the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 14.3% going in: 18.0% after a win, 13.1% after a draw, 11.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 11.5%, 2.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Hoffenheim II v Verl has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 38% / 28% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 40% / 26% / 34%: the biggest move is Hoffenheim II's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Hoffenheim II win40%▲ +2
  2. Draw26%▼ −2
  3. Verl win34%=

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.