17 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim 3. Liga prediction & result

Flyeralarm Arena, Wurzburger
Referee: Yannick Sager
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Würzburger Kickers 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim.

Before kick-off the model made it 40% Würzburger Kickers, 27% draw, 33% Waldhof Mannheim — fair odds of 2.50, 3.70 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Würzburger Kickers at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Würzburger Kickers99%Draw1%Waldhof Mannheim0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

L. Omore
21'
39'
Owono Darnell Keumo
41'
Diego Michel
⚽Xaver Kiefersauer
44'
45'
🔁Lovis Frederik Bierschenkout: Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa
45'
🔁Diego Michelout: Nolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba
52'
Vincent Thill
Tim·Kraus
56'
60'
Nolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba
62'
🔁Oluwaseun Ogbemudiaout: Terrence Boyd
67'
🔁Gonçalo Gregórioout: Julian Ulbricht
🔁Tim·Krausout: David Kinsombi
71'
🔁N. Embayeout: Burak Karakaya
80'
🔁Luke Hemmerichout: Dominik Meisel
80'
84'
🔁Owono Darnell Keumoout: Djayson Eduardo Cardoso Mendes
🔁Franck evinaout: Philipp Ochs
85'
⚽Tarsis Bongaassist: Xaver Kiefersauer
89'

Match stats — Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim

43%Possession57%
15Shots14
7On target6
8Corners9

Line-ups

Würzburger Kickers 4-4-2
  • 33M. RajkovačićG
  • 17L. OmoreD
  • 4N. De MedinaD
  • 16L. BreunigD
  • 21L. HemmerichD
  • 37I. FranjićM
  • 27Xaver KiefersauerM
  • 6Namrud EmbayeM
  • 18F. EvinaM
  • 31T. KrausF
  • 30T. BongaF
Substitutes
  • 8D. KinsombiM
  • 25D. MeiselM
  • 9Jermain NischalkeF
  • 13P. OchsM
  • 19T. KastanarasF
  • 34Burak KarakayaD
  • 1Johann HipperG
  • 5L. EberleD
  • 11D. BerishaF
Coach: M. Schiele
Waldhof Mannheim 4-3-3
  • 1T. NijhuisG
  • 25Jid OkekeD
  • 3Moritz PolteD
  • 14Oluwaseun God Power Osaro OgbemudiaD
  • 17Owono Darnell KeumoD
  • 21J. RieckmannM
  • 15C. KammerknechtM
  • 28D. MichelM
  • 7L. BierschenkF
  • 9Gonçalo GregórioF
  • 12V. ThillF
Substitutes
  • 13T. BoydF
  • 35Djayson CardosoM
  • 11Francisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa PessoaF
  • 24L. KlünterD
  • 29N. X. Muteba NTumbaF
  • 10J. UlbrichtF
  • 39Milo BauerM
  • 16J. NiemannG
  • 42David ZimmerG
Coach: Rui Mota

Form going into Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim

Würzburger Kickers

3. Liga

  • D2-2away to Havelse13 October 2026

Waldhof Mannheim

3. Liga

  • L0-3FC Ingolstadt 0414 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
15Würzburger Kickers134271725-814
8Waldhof Mannheim136162320+319

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Würzburger Kickers vs Waldhof Mannheim

  • 15 July 2023FC Wurzburger Kickers 1–3 Waldhof MannheimFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 January 2022FC Wurzburger Kickers 1–2 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
  • 15 August 2021Waldhof Mannheim 1–1 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
  • 7 March 2020FC Wurzburger Kickers 0–0 Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga
  • 14 September 2019Waldhof Mannheim 1–2 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga

Leading scorers: Würzburger Kickers and Waldhof Mannheim

Würzburger Kickers

GoalsAssists

  • T. Bonga41

Waldhof Mannheim

GoalsAssists

  • J. Ulbricht42
  • T. Boyd41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Würzburger Kickers beat Waldhof Mannheim 2–0. The model had made a win for Würzburger Kickers its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Xaver Kiefersauer 44' for Würzburger Kickers, Tarsis Bonga 89' for Würzburger Kickers.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Würzburger Kickers a 37.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 31.0% after a win, 39.5% after a draw, 43.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 31.0%, 6.1 points lower than before the match.

For Waldhof Mannheim the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 12.0% going in: 7.5% after a win, 11.4% after a draw, 14.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.5%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Würzburger Kickers v Waldhof Mannheim has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 41% / 28% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 40% / 27% / 33%: the biggest move is Waldhof Mannheim's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. Würzburger Kickers win40%▼ −1
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Waldhof Mannheim win33%▲ +2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.