SV Meppen vs Havelse 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SV Meppen 1-1 Havelse.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% SV Meppen, 25% draw, 22% Havelse — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
SV Meppen at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Meppen vs Havelse
Line-ups
- 44J. PüntG
- 2Dominique DomroseD
- 19L. SprekelmeyerD
- 33Stefan rankicD
- 3T. MißnerD
- 5J. FedlM
- 6E. ZehirM
- 10K. GhawiluM
- 14T. DetersM
- 7O. SchmittM
- 17J. EhlersF
- 1N. OberbeckG
- 11S. EngelmannF
- 40N. NadjM
- 31L. PrasseF
- 20N. TougloD
- 23N. WesselsM
- 39F. BährD
- 4Jona BorsumM
- 9C. AkonoF
- 1T. OpitzG
- 22L. SommerD
- 15D. DuahD
- 8J. BergerD
- 4S. BelkahiaD
- 10K. SchumacherD
- 12Eryk Artur GrzywaczM
- 33J. TugbenyoM
- 28R. VelascoM
- 11K. Okyere WriedtF
- 14Y. WardakF
- 25Fynn Ole WolterG
- 20Alexander GuiddirF
- 3M. LambyD
- 24Y. MausehundD
- 23R. MüllerM
- 27I. NdukaD
- 9L. PaldinoF
- 7M. RichterM
- 19E. VoufackD
Form going into SV Meppen vs Havelse
SV Meppen
3. Liga
- W2-0away to Hansa Rostock13 October 2026
Havelse
3. Liga
- D2-2Würzburger Kickers13 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SV Meppen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
| 20 | Havelse | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SV Meppen vs Havelse
- 29 March 2025Havelse 2–1 SV MeppenRegionalliga - Nord
- 28 September 2024SV Meppen 4–0 HavelseRegionalliga - Nord
- 13 April 2024SV Meppen 4–1 HavelseRegionalliga - Nord
- 15 October 2023Havelse 4–2 SV MeppenRegionalliga - Nord
- 5 February 2022Havelse 3–0 SV Meppen3. Liga
- 30 August 2021SV Meppen 1–0 Havelse3. Liga
Leading scorers: SV Meppen and Havelse
SV Meppen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Havelse
GoalsAssists
- K. Okyere Wriedt32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Meppen and Havelse drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for SV Meppen at 53% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Kevin Schumacher 13' for Havelse, Thorben Deters 15' for SV Meppen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave SV Meppen a 22.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 18.4% after a win, 24.8% after a draw, 29.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 24.8%, 2.7 points higher than before the match.
For Havelse the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 85.7% going in: 80.3% after a win, 85.4% after a draw, 88.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 85.4%.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on SV Meppen v Havelse has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 53% / 25% / 22%: the biggest move is SV Meppen's chance of winning, up 9 points.
- SV Meppen win53%▲ +9
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Havelse win22%▼ −7
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.