9 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

Hradec Králové vs Plzen Czech Liga prediction & result

FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Hradec Králové 0-0 Plzen.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Hradec Králové, 29% draw, 34% Plzen — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hradec Králové at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hradec Králové4%Draw92%Plzen4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
🔁Prince Kwabena Aduout: Christopher Kabongo
45'
🔁Cheick Souareout: Tomáš Ladra
🔁Daniel Horakout: David Ludvíček
54'
59'
🔁Denis Višinskýout: Alexandr Sojka
59'
Christopher Kabongo
🔁Samuel Dancakout: Matej Valenta
67'
🔁Tom Sloncikout: Adam Vlkanova
67'
68'
Lukáš Červ
Adam Vlkanova
73'
🔁Tomáš Čvančaraout: Abdullahi Umar
79'
83'
🔁Merchas Doskiout: Mohamed Toure
83'
🔁Lukáš Červout: Stefan Pirgic
90'
Denis Vavro
90+2'
•Denis Vavro

Match stats — Hradec Králové vs Plzen

58%Possession42%
16Shots7
3On target2
10Corners3

Line-ups

Hradec Králové 5-4-1
  • 12A. ZadražilG
  • 27D. TrubačD
  • 7J. UhrinčaťD
  • 5F. ČihákD
  • 25F. ČechD
  • 26D. HorákD
  • 10M. van BurenM
  • 16V. DaridaM
  • 11S. DancákM
  • 19T. SlončíkM
  • 70T. ČvančaraF
Substitutes
  • 33Rodrigo AbajasD
  • 30J. ChvátalM
  • 2D. LudvíčekD
  • 3F. MielkeD
  • 6Elione NetoM
  • 22S. PonikelskyM
  • 24A. UmarF
  • 20M. VágnerG
  • 9M. ValentaM
Coach: D. Horejs
Plzen 4-2-3-1
  • 44F. WiegeleG
  • 2T. PališčákD
  • 3D. VavroD
  • 40S. DwehD
  • 14Merchas DoskiD
  • 17P. HrošovskýM
  • 6L. ČervM
  • 99A. MemićM
  • 19C. SouaréM
  • 9D. VišinskýM
  • 80P. AduF
Substitutes
  • 10M. ToureF
  • 12A. SojkaM
  • 98F. PrebslD
  • 36S. PirgićM
  • 20Jiří Maxim PanošM
  • 7S. LawalF
  • 18T. LadraF
  • 25C. KabongoF
  • 29A. GabrielD
Coach: R. Kováč

Form going into Hradec Králové vs Plzen

Hradec Králové

  • W2-1Sparta Praha6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Zbrojovka Brno2 September 2026
  • L0-2away to Slovan Liberec30 August 2026

Plzen

  • W3-0away to Artis5 September 2026
  • D1-1Slovácko30 August 2026
  • W3-2Zlin15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Hradec Králové842287+114
10Plzen82421615+110

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Plzen

  • 9 September 2026Hradec Králové 0–0 PlzenCzech Liga
  • 3 May 2026Plzen 3–1 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
  • 8 March 2026Hradec Králové 0–3 PlzenCzech Liga
  • 5 October 2025Plzen 3–3 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
  • 23 November 2024Hradec Králové 0–1 PlzenCzech Liga
  • 28 July 2024Plzen 1–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Hradec Králové and Plzen

Hradec Králové

  • T. Slončík3 goals

Plzen

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.